# 市场周期与投资策略

The data from the Brazilian market this wave is worth paying attention to. The 43% increase in trading volume looks promising, but more importantly, the structural changes—average investment exceeding $1,000 and 18% of users beginning to diversify assets—indicate a shift from pure speculation to structured investing.
The threefold growth in stablecoin trading volume strongly indicates this trend. Under macro uncertainties, users are seeking low-volatility hedges, which is a typical signal of a risk asset adjustment period. Meanwhile, a 108% increase in low-risk crypto products, along with infl

#市场周期与投资策略 When I saw this set of data from the Brazilian market, a word flashed through my mind: differentiation.
A 43% activity growth sounds exciting, but a closer look at the underlying logic reveals risks. The average investment amount jumps from a few hundred dollars to over 1000 dollars, and 18% of people are starting to diversify assets — this is not a sign of market maturity, but a sign of FOMO heating up. I’ve seen this scene in 2017 and 2021; each time, retail investors begin "serious investing," and it’s also when the bagholders are most densely accumulated.
The most warning sign

#市场周期与投资策略 Seeing this wave of market activity, my mind once again recalls the lows of 2015. At that time, Ethereum had not yet officially launched, and the entire market was filled with despair, with air coins flying everywhere. But even in that hopeless situation, some people began to quietly position themselves. History always repeats itself in astonishing ways.
This time, the ETH/NASDAQ ratio has touched around 0.11, and the RSI has fallen below 30. From a data perspective, this is indeed a noteworthy signal. I reviewed records from previous years, and every time this indicator shows extr

#市场周期与投资策略 Seeing the latest data analysis, I couldn't be more excited! The ETH/NASDAQ ratio has bottomed out around 0.11, and the RSI is severely oversold—these indicators stacked together are like the market shouting "the bottom is in." History often repeats itself, and mean reversion is not a question but an inevitability.
What’s even more encouraging are the underlying conditions: QE restart, cash stimulus, on-chain asset migration… these are strong tailwinds driving the crypto market upward. At the same time, the oversold signals for BTC also indicate that a strong bull market is brewing

The data from the Brazil market is very interesting—trading volume increased by 43%, and per capita investment exceeded $1,000. This reflects a shift from pure speculation to structured investment in the market. More notably, 18% of investors are starting to diversify their allocations, with stablecoin trading volume soaring to three times last year's level.
This tells me a core logic: when the macro environment is uncertain, the market automatically lowers risk appetite. From another perspective, this is exactly when the multi-asset allocation and copy trading strategies come into play. Recen

#市场周期与投资策略 Seeing this set of data from the Brazilian crypto market reminds me of a recent experience of a friend who is an investor. They have shifted from simply chasing gains to diversifying their assets — this change is exactly what we see reflected in the Brazilian market. Behind the 43% activity growth, what comforts me most is not the numbers themselves, but the maturity of investment concepts.
Did you notice? 18% of investors have already started diversifying their holdings, and trading volume in stablecoins has grown to three times that of last year. What does this indicate? It shows

#市场周期与投资策略 I just saw an expert's analysis saying that now is the best spot investment zone??? I need to understand this logic well 😅
I've been struggling with the recent volatility, watching the K-line fluctuate wildly and feeling especially anxious, afraid of buying at the top. But he mentioned that after Japan's interest rate hike, it's the "last major negative news to be exhausted"—what does that mean? — Does it mean that most of the bad news has been released and things will get better from here?
What moved me the most was this sentence: "If you want to earn a few thousand dollars in re

#市场周期与投资策略 The market signals are becoming clearer recently. The BTC and ETH to Nasdaq ratio has bottomed out, and the RSI is severely oversold—what do these technical indicators suggest? They indicate that the bottom range has been confirmed, and mean reversion is just around the corner.
According to data, the ETH/Nasdaq ratio has a 50-100% upside potential, which is not just numbers on a chart but real opportunities. More importantly, next year’s policy environment for the crypto industry is all positive—interest rate cuts, liquidity injections, and on-chain finance—all of which are decisiv

#市场周期与投资策略 Are both BTC and ETH RSI seriously oversold? Then this is a bottom signal! 🔥
Garrett Jin's analysis of the BTC OG whale agent is indeed interesting. The ETH/NASDAQ ratio has bottomed out and RSI is approaching 30. Historically, this position has always been a prelude to doubling. 50%-100% upside? Isn't that just saying it's time to buy the dip now?
And Yili Hua also said that now is the best spot investment zone. Next year, catalysts like policy easing and financial on-chain activities are coming, and the bears are still struggling. The recent days of contract players shorting are