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#预测市场 Polymarket's data is truly impressive 😱 The probability of BTC hitting 100,000 dollars again this year has dropped to 11%. What does this imply? The market is repeatedly testing the 95,000 level, and there is a 24% chance it could break through 80,000 directly...
Honestly, this is a typical signal of market sentiment shifting from FOMO to panic. The bulls' final push at the end of the year doesn't seem as aggressive as expected. But on the other hand, could this pessimistic outlook actually be a sign of a bottom? Anyway, the market prediction game is at its most competitive right now.

#网络钓鱼与欺诈 Damn, 50 million USDT just disappeared like that? 🤯 Address poisoning is a brilliant move; phishing guys first transfer 0.005 USDT to test the waters, and once the whale copy-pastes, it's gg—sending 16,624 ETH directly to someone.
The most outrageous part is that they still need to wash the funds through Tornado, and this process is really complete. The Ethereum Foundation only recently stopped truncating addresses with ellipses, which feels a bit late, but better late than never. Displaying addresses like 0xbaf4b1aF...B6495F8b5 is definitely a trap—you can't see clearly if the full

#比特币价格预测 BTC how oversold is it now? The weekly RSI has dropped to 35, a level that only appeared in January 2023! Dropped from 126k to 80.5k, a direct plunge of 36%💀
The key is that the Stochastic RSI shows this is the deepest oversold in the entire cycle, making the short-term rebound highly probable. Analysts are all saying that the bottoming signs are becoming more and more obvious, and the 86k-92k range is about to start oscillating.
Year-end tax clearing + options expiration might cause some turbulence in the next two weeks, but I really feel the rebound window is right in front of us.

#预测市场 The probability of Waller becoming Federal Reserve Chair on Polymarket is only 14%? That's an interesting number... Haskett has skyrocketed to 56%, which indicates that the market doesn't really favor Waller. Players in the prediction market clearly trust Haskett more.
Major policy events like this are worth paying attention to, as the Fed Chair appointment directly impacts the subsequent interest rate hike cycle and liquidity release. For the crypto world, it's a direct indicator of good or bad news. Honestly, this kind of real-money prediction market data is much more reliable than so

#市场周期与投资策略 Are both BTC and ETH RSI seriously oversold? Then this is a bottom signal! 🔥
Garrett Jin's analysis of the BTC OG whale agent is indeed interesting. The ETH/NASDAQ ratio has bottomed out and RSI is approaching 30. Historically, this position has always been a prelude to doubling. 50%-100% upside? Isn't that just saying it's time to buy the dip now?
And Yili Hua also said that now is the best spot investment zone. Next year, catalysts like policy easing and financial on-chain activities are coming, and the bears are still struggling. The recent days of contract players shorting are

#比特币价格预测 Arthur Hayes is back to bullish again, claiming that the Fed's RMP is essentially QE in disguise, and liquidity needs to be re-released. Is BTC directly targeting $124,000? 🚀
I believe in short-term fluctuations between 80k-100k, but this guy is secretly selling ETH while praising it—what kind of operation is this? It's a typical "I’m optimistic but I’ll sell first." However, the logic is indeed sound—the Fed's liquidity injections are always the ultimate springboard for crypto, proven time and again throughout history.
The problem is that everyone is waiting for this wave of "marke

#美联储降息预期 The labor market has collapsed, and the Federal Reserve is definitely going to continue cutting interest rates 🔴 Non-farm payroll data is right there, with employment growth completely stagnating, which is a signal!
Once the rate cut expectations are locked in, funds will inevitably look for an exit. Brothers who are still on the sidelines, just wait and see — institutions will move out of bonds, and retail investors will follow the trend into risk assets. Meme coins, with their high volatility, are bound to take off sooner or later 💥
The end-of-year market rally is coming, and the

#美联储政策 Trump is back to selecting the Federal Reserve Chair again, and the answer will be revealed within a few weeks🔥 Waller, Bowman, and two Kevins are all on the candidate list... Honestly, this is a major event for the crypto world!
The new chair means a new policy direction, expectations of rate cuts, liquidity, and attitudes toward crypto policies... all of these will directly impact the trends of BTC and altcoins. The market is now waiting for this signal; once the candidate is confirmed, there could be a wave of sharp fluctuations🚀
The key is who takes the position. If it's a dovish

#预测市场平台 Wow, Space! This public sale really got me excited🔥 UFO team is behind it. That legendary project with $1.5 billion in funding, now they're launching a prediction market, this time with 10x leverage + zero fee Maker!
The key is the tokenomics design—50% of platform revenue is used for buyback and burn, which is a true flywheel mechanism, not just empty talk. Plus, Echo had an oversubscription of 1360%, with Morningstar and Arctic Digital investing, making the funding background very clean.
The best part is that TGE is 100% unlocked, no complicated tricks, and there are tiered benefit

#比特币价格走势 Once Polymarket data came out, I knew that the story of BTC breaking 100,000 this year was over 😅 with an 11% probability, which is basically saying "impossible."
On the other hand, the 95,000 level with a 32% probability seems more realistic, and market sentiment has indeed become polarized. From previously blindly bullish to now starting to do serious calculations, it shows that smart money is already adjusting their positions.
There is still a 24% chance of dropping below 80,000, which is the real risk to watch out for. These last few days of the year are prone to black swan even

#预测市场 CZ predicts that the market will take off next year due to the US election, and I truly believe it. 🚀 Imagine the trading volume during next year's election period—that will be the starting point of the next wave of FOMO. Those who position themselves early will be the winners 💰.
But the most important thing is that the penetration rate of the crypto market is still less than 1%, and there is still several orders of magnitude of growth potential! This shows that we are still in the very early stages. The current mainstream coins might become the blue chips of the future, not to mentio

#加密货币监管政策 Damn, Yi Lihua's recent remarks are spot on 🔥 Now is truly the golden time to get in. Next year, with crypto policies, rate cuts, and financial on-chain initiatives all moving forward, isn't this just the eve of a bull market?
The key is to seize the Trump window period. Danny Ryan is right—take advantage of this friendly policy phase to make crypto a "critical infrastructure." Once it becomes part of the system, no matter who comes to power later, it won't be able to turn the tide. That's why now is the time to firmly hold spot assets rather than play the heartbeat game with daily

#比特币价格走势 Tom Lee says Bitcoin will hit a new high before the end of January 2026? Is this guy serious🚀 He previously said it would peak before December, and now he's changing his tune. It feels like this wave will last for more than a year. But on the other hand, if we can really wait until the end of next year to hit a new high, those who are already positioned would be laughing their heads off😏
This means there might still be fluctuations in the short term, but the overall trend is bullish. However, don’t just listen to big influencers; you need to make your own judgment. If Bitcoin reall

#比特币技术分析 BTC held at 115,000, and the Galaxy folks said that 2026 would be so volatile that it would be unpredictable🤔 But isn't this the real opportunity? The all-time high is still there, and the $250,000 target by the end of 2027 is enough to excite people. Stablecoins surpass ACH, Solana enterprise applications, institutional ETFs flooding in… all these signals indicate that the foundation for a bull market is being built. Large fluctuations = great opportunities, the key is whether you can withstand the mindset. Is anyone continuing to buy in at this level, or are they waiting for a pul

#AI与加密货币结合 CZ's words hit the core contradiction of AI trading. They sound reasonable and well-founded, but I actually feel more excited 😂
If AI algorithms are really so hard to profit from, then why are major exchanges and project teams still rushing to develop AI Agents? What does that indicate? It shows that the market is not yet saturated, and the first-mover advantage is huge. The more people use the same AI, the more it will indeed become ineffective, but this precisely means—whoever captures the next wave of AI trading tool dividends first will be the winner.
Moreover, CZ overlooked o

#比特币价格走势 The Bank of Japan's rate hike has landed, and BTC has directly rebounded, rising over 2%. This is a signal🚀 Arthur Hayes has also come out to speak — the yen has fallen to 200, Bitcoin has risen to one million dollars, I love this logic.
The key is that major traders are now unanimously bullish. Eugene Ng says altcoins have fallen to the point where they can't fall further and it's time to buy the dip. Garrett Jin directly calls for BTC at $106,000 and ETH at $4,500. When so many big names speak out at the same time, it’s no coincidence. The resistance levels for the half-year summe

#加密货币监管政策 Wow! Trump's latest appointments are pushing the envelope, and with Seliger taking over the CFTC, the landscape of crypto regulation is about to undergo a major reshuffle 🔥
Previously, Caroline Fann's approach was already very crypto-friendly. Now that there's a change? Does everyone understand what this means—expansion of derivatives market authority, loosening of futures products, and a potential regulatory pathway for altcoins 👀
Those suppressed assets in the past now have a chance to make a comeback. Airdrops, new tokens, and various innovative products are all waiting for thi

#比特币价格走势 The Bank of Japan's rate hike has landed, big players are collectively bullish, and this wave of market movement is really here! 🚀 Arthur Hayes directly stated that Bitcoin will surge to one million dollars, Eugene Ng also said that altcoins have bottomed out and it's time to place buy orders, Garrett Jin called for BTC at 106,000 USD and ETH at 4,500 USD... this rhythm is incredible, it feels like the entire market sentiment has reversed.
The key is that negative real interest rates are the clear policy signal from the Bank of Japan. What does yen depreciation mean? Everyone should

#美联储流动性政策 The Federal Reserve has started expanding its balance sheet, liquidity has improved, and this is a signal! 🚀
Delphi's report clearly states that by 2026, global liquidity is expected to significantly improve. Although it won't be as crazy as in 2020, the pace will be clearer and more predictable. Central banks are beginning to cut interest rates uniformly, deficit spending is driving debt monetization, gold has hit new highs, and isn't Bitcoin still far behind?
Half-Mu Summer has also been calling for it these days—now is the most worthwhile time to buy risk assets in the next 1-2

#美联储降息政策 The wave of the US dollar is about to turn, with expectations of rate cuts and liquidity expansion. This is the craziest buying window in the past 1-2 months 🔥
Bamboo Summer directly called it yesterday: concerns about the AI bubble are fully priced in, the risk of Japan's rate hikes is also nearing digestion, the Federal Reserve has started expanding its balance sheet, and although non-farm data is average, it has actually increased the room for rate cuts. In other words—risk assets are about to take off, and Bitcoin, the S&P 500, and A-shares are all worth jumping in 🚀
The real b