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How does Buffett analyze a company? The essence of the old man: look for "three good students" in good industries (good business, good team, good price).

Warren Buffett's investment legend is not based on short-term speculation, but on a simple framework validated over a lifetime: buy shares of excellent companies and hold them as if purchasing the entire business. In good industries, look for the "Three Good Students"—a good business (strong moat), a good team (excellent management), and a good price (reasonable valuation).
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Last edited on 2025-12-19 08:24:31
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Federal Reserve's $40 billion short-term debt purchase plan: Not QE, but with hidden easing effects!

The Federal Reserve has recently launched the "Reserve Management Purchase" (RMP) program, which involves purchasing approximately $40 billion in short-term government bonds (within one year) from the open market each month. On the surface, it's a "pipe repair"—adding to bank reserves and maintaining short-term interest rate stability. However, the market views it as an "invisible QE": balance sheet expansion, liquidity flooding, unlimited scale, the de facto end of the tightening cycle, and a significant increase in the attractiveness of risk assets!
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95% of retail investors are not really "investing," only "praying for a rise"—true stock investing is based on this clear roadmap!

Watch the ups and downs, buy at will, and pray for a rise. But real stock investing is actually a clear roadmap.
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Flying towards a $1.5 trillion IPO, Elon Musk almost lost everything: SpaceX's 23-year epic from inception to space dominance

SpaceX internal stock offering values the company at $800 billion, preparing for an IPO in 2026 to raise over $30 billion. Musk aims for a $1.5 trillion market cap—possibly the largest IPO in human history, creating the first trillionaire!
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Hashrate Subprime Crisis Alert! AI Infrastructure Debt Surge + Miner Leverage Double Threat, 2026 Credit Collapse Concerns Unveiled

The 2025 technology news is booming: AI investment soars, North American data centers accelerate, and crypto miners transition to computing power services. However, the Wall Street credit departments are feeling a chill — they discovered that they are financing "fresh" GPUs with a 10-year real estate model but a mere 18-month warranty! Reuters reports reveal a glimpse of the iceberg: AI infrastructure debt is intensifying, with total financing surging 112% to $25 billion in 2025.
BTC0.01%
ETH-0.28%
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Trump's重大决定: Marijuana is downgraded from Schedule I to Schedule III! Same category as Tylenol pain relievers, no longer classified alongside heroin

President Trump has just announced a historic decision: to downgrade marijuana from Schedule I to Schedule III! This means marijuana will no longer be considered a top-tier drug with "no medical use and high potential for abuse," but rather classified alongside Tylenol containing codeine.
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The truth about the US November CPI: surface-level 2.7% cooling, actual inflation remains sticky, and expectations for rate cuts are limited!

In conjunction with Tuesday's employment data, this CPI still supports the overall easing expectations through 2026. However, if inflation components remain sticky (such as a rebound in commodities/energy), the story of rapid rate cuts will be undermined. Additionally, if Trump's tariffs and geopolitical conflicts escalate, real inflation could make a comeback. Investors should be wary of statistical "illusions" and focus on signals from the real economy.
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The ugly truth about the U.S. Census Bureau: Behind the 2.6% CPI "pretty number" are statistical manipulation and re-ignition of commodity inflation!

The recently announced November CPI year-over-year rate of 2.7% (core 2.6%) caused a brief market celebration, as if the Federal Reserve had achieved a great victory. But don’t be fooled by this “pretty number”! The devil is in the details: on the left, the Bureau of Statistics “fakes” to smooth out rent inflation; on the right, the true inflation on the goods side is quietly rising.
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Last edited on 2025-12-19 07:51:15
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BTC drops from 126,000 to 86,000: Bull market narrative collapses, old money accelerates exit—Three possible trends in 2026, the most likely one is it!

In October, BTC hit a new all-time high of $126,000, with the entire network shouting "Starting at 200,000." In just two months, BTC dropped 31% to $86,000, and ETH fell 30% to $2,800. Grayscale predicts "new highs in 2026," while Wall Street says "2025 will end quietly."
BTC0.01%
ETH-0.28%
LUNA-6.21%
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Whale Garrett Jin is bullish! BTC target $106,000, ETH target $4,500, Yen rate hike has minimal impact

In October, the legendary whale Garrett Jin, who made a high-profile sale of over $4.23 billion worth of BTC to switch to ETH, posted last night to strongly bullish: Bitcoin and Ethereum are about to surge! The first target levels are respectively $106,000 and $4,500.
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ETH-0.28%
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Is CZ's opponent whale about to get wiped out again? The $237 million long position is currently floating at a loss of $40.3 million, and the ETH position is once again close to liquidation! 🤯📉
According to on-chain expert Yu Jin's monitoring, this mysterious whale who previously "shorted after CZ posted his ASTER holdings" is once again on the edge of the cliff!
Previously, when ETH hit a low point, his long position was only $28 away from liquidation. Later, thanks to a rebound, he managed to turn a $44 million floating loss into breakeven. Unfortunately, he didn't choose to exit, but inst
ETH-0.28%
XRP1.57%
HYPE-3.34%
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BONK's "resilience" shines brightly! International-focused projects are becoming increasingly rare.

Recently, the BONK ecosystem launched the "BONKcember" themed month activities, collaborating with Ledger, adjusting the economic model, updating multiple products, expanding global sports marketing + charity initiatives, and the upcoming launch of the powerful BonkTrade — all silently proving that BONK is not a short-term hotspot, but a long-term player.
BONK-1.09%
BTC0.01%
SOL-0.33%
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Bank of America December Global Fund Manager Survey Released: Cash at Historic Lows + Bull-Bear Indicator at 7.9, Sell Signal Has Been Triggered!

Fund managers' macro optimism rises to the highest since August 2021, with stock overweighting reaching a one-year high, while cash levels drop to a historic low of 3.3%—triggering a classic sell signal! The bull-bear indicator soars to 7.9, approaching the 8.0 sell threshold.
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The Fed Chair's "Palace Coup" escalates! Hassett's confidant gains an advantage, Basent confirms large-scale money printing, with each household receiving a $1,000-2,000 tax rebate early next year—Could crypto recreate the pandemic frenzy?

Last night, the non-farm payrolls report was released smoothly. Employment exceeded expectations, but the unemployment rate hit a four-year high of 4.6%. This should have been positive for a January rate cut, but due to distorted data and December non-farm payrolls interference, the probability of a rate cut only slightly increased to 23-24%. Even more exciting is the escalation of the "Three Palace Fight" among Federal Reserve Chair candidates: Waller's interview votes split the Wosh (Wosh's win rate drops to 22%), while Haskett has regained a 54% lead.
TRUMP-1.1%
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Trump's major statement this morning: The new Federal Reserve Chair will strongly support interest rate cuts! Will risk assets usher in a spring of easing?

Trump publicly stated: The new Federal Reserve Chair will strongly support a significant rate cut! Regardless of who the final candidate is, they are likely to firmly implement a low-interest-rate policy. This is undoubtedly bad news for the independence of the Federal Reserve—political interference will increase. But for risk markets, it's a big gift: a large rate cut = super easing, investor risk appetite will significantly increase, and high-risk assets like U.S. stocks and cryptocurrencies may usher in a new spring.
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Whale multi-signature wallet private key leaked! $27.3 million stolen overnight, hackers have laundered $12.6 million

A whale user’s multi-signature wallet was hacked due to private key leakage, resulting in a loss of approximately $27.3 million (including ETH and other assets). The hacker acted very quickly, laundering $12.6 million (about 4,100 ETH) through TornadoCash, and holding about $2 million in liquid assets.
ETH-0.28%
DAI-0.01%
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Today's US stock market observation: It's not just a correction, but a year-end valuation adjustment!

Last night, the US stock market experienced a standard valuation correction: the Nasdaq plunged 1.81%, the S&P 500 fell 1.16%, marking the largest single-day decline in nearly a month, and the Dow Jones Industrial Average declined for the fourth consecutive day. The AI sector led the decline again, with giants like Oracle, Broadcom, and NVIDIA collectively breaking below key levels, revealing institutional year-end rebalancing pressures.
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Is Japan's rate hike really that scary? Debunking the "30% monthly drop" rumor: the data is purely baseless, and the impact is far from exaggerated!

Recently, a set of data has been circulating in the market: every time Japan raises interest rates, BTC drops 24%-32% per month, with an average of 28.7%! Many people are therefore anxious about the Bank of Japan's monetary policy meeting on December 19. But upon careful review of history, you'll find that this data is purely a miscalculation and exaggerated interpretation.
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SEI launches on OSL Exchange: From the West to the East, officially entering the Asia-Pacific compliant market!

Daily scrolling through tweets, countless projects shout "globalization," "compliance," and "institutional cooperation," but most remain at the PPT and PR level. Today, I came across a tweet from SEI founder Phillip, seeing that $SEI has officially launched on OSL exchange, which made me realize that SEI is strategically entering the Asia-Pacific compliance market. By 2025, if we still see "listing on exchanges" as a simple benefit, we are probably still stuck in the previous mindset.
SEI-0.8%
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