RiverOfPassion

Avalanche (AVAX) — Can Subnet Narratives Ignite a Recovery Rally?
Avalanche’s current price is about $9.46 to $9.58. Over the past 24 hours, it has risen by about 5% to 6.75%. Its market capitalization is about $4.13 billion, making it one of today’s most eye-catching mainstream coins. AVAX has fallen by more than 93% from its historical high of $147, making it one of the largest drawdowns among major coins.
Technically speaking, AVAX is currently testing the 50-day EMA at $9.58. The MACD line has crossed back above its signal line, indicating that short-term momentum is building. If AVAX mana

**HYPE: The Intense Battle Between Deflation and Unlocking**
As of April 7, 2026, HYPE is priced at approximately $37.48, with a 24-hour low of $35.15. The market is currently caught in a tug-of-war between "extreme deflation fundamentals" and "monthly unlocking selling pressure."
**Short-term Major Variable: Large Unlock on April 6**
At 08:00 Beijing time on April 6, approximately 9.92 million HYPE (worth about $350-370 million, accounting for 2.66% of circulating supply) will be unlocked all at once to core contributors (the team). This cliff-style unlock indicates significant short-term sel

Litecoin (LTC) — Underestimated "Silver" with Delayed Halving Effect
Litecoin is currently trading in the range of approximately $51 to $54, up about 2.77% in the past 24 hours and roughly 0.59% over the past 7 days. The circulating supply is about 77,030,133 LTC, with a market capitalization of approximately $4.17 billion. Although the gains are modest, it is relatively resilient in the current market environment.
Litecoin completed its third halving in August 2025, reducing the block reward to 3.125 LTC. Historical data shows that prices tend to rise 6 to 12 months after halving, but this ti

Dogecoin（DOGE）— A $0.09 Defense Battle Amid Bull-Bear Tug-of-War
Dogecoin’s current price is around $0.09. In the past 24 hours, it has fallen by approximately 2.20%, and its market cap ranking still remains in the top ten. Over the past 7 days, it has cumulatively declined by approximately 2.95%. Currently, the price is in a downward channel, trading below all major index moving averages. The 20-EMA is at $0.09878, the 50-day moving average is at $0.094, and it keeps sloping downward, indicating that sellers are temporarily in control.
However, the positioning data shows a signal of divergenc

The Hormuz Chess Game: From Historical Cycles to Great Power New Shadow Battles
1. Three Scripts in History
When Iran conveyed the "Ten Points" to the U.S. through Pakistan and refused to cease fire, the confrontation echoed through history. Over the past half-century, the Strait of Hormuz has staged three classic scripts.
The 1973 script was called "Embargo." Arab oil-producing countries used oil as a weapon, cutting off supplies to supporting Israel. The logic at the time was simple collective action: oil producers united, consumers panicked. This ultimately led to the creation of the Intern

《Pakistan Pass-Through and the Ten-Point Terms: The Last Gasp of Old Multilateralism》
Iran rejected the U.S. ceasefire proposal, but delivered a response through Pakistan that included ten points. This diplomatic detail is worth deep thought: why Pakistan? Why “ten points”?
Pakistan’s role is not accidental. It is one of the few countries that maintain relatively good relations with the United States, Iran, Saudi Arabia, and China at the same time. Pakistan has a long land border with Iran, is also an important member of the Saudi-led Islamic military alliance, and has a “all-weather strategic

《Swearing and the Ten-Point Terms: From “Deterrence Dialogue” Sliding into “Misjudgment Spiral”》
Trump swore on social media, demanding that Iran “open the Strait of Hormuz.” Iran, in turn, rejected a ceasefire via Pakistan and attached ten conditions. This kind of interaction pattern is unsettling: one side uses emotional, domestically oriented deterrence language, while the other uses procedural, internationally oriented diplomatic language. Between the two languages, there is no bridge for direct communication, and the risk of misjudgment is rising sharply.
The military-level risk lies in t

《The Signal of a $111 Oil Price: The Market Is Pricing in a “Chronic Strait Crisis”》
A screenshot from Jin10 Data shows that WTI crude oil has reached $111.210 per barrel, gold is at $4,688.87 per ounce, and the US dollar index is at 99.811. After Iran clearly rejected a ceasefire and emphasized a “permanent end to the war,” these figures are not short-term fluctuations—rather, the market is pricing a new norm: the Strait of Hormuz will remain in a state of “not blockaded, but continuously tense” for the long term.
Unlike the tanker war period of 1984, today’s global oil market has already los

The “Cowardly Game” in the Strait of Hormuz: the energy bomb behind the refusal to cease fire》
Iran clearly refuses to cease fire and emphasizes “a permanent end to the war,” and together with former President Trump’s threat to “open the Strait of Hormuz,” it means both sides have entered a high-risk standoff phase.
· Strait’s Key: About 20% of the world’s oil is transported through the Strait of Hormuz. Iran’s refusal to back down essentially turns the energy corridor into its biggest bargaining chip—not necessarily by blocking it, but by continuously creating expectations of tension, which i

“Old Man and Profanity”: How Iran Deconstructs Trump’s Threats with Satire
Trump used profanity on social media to threaten to “open the Strait of Hormuz.” Iran’s embassies and consulates in multiple countries did not respond with equally abusive language, but instead adopted a highly refined satire strategy:
· Downshifting the threat: Iran’s embassy in India said that “cursing is the behavior of a sore-loser child,” comparing the U.S. president’s actions to childish impulsiveness and stripping them of any seriousness as deterrence.
· Turning the tables by quoting celebrity remarks: By citing

"Deceptive Messaging and the Ten Conditions: Iran's 'Waiting Out' Tactics"
Iran did not directly reject the U.S. ceasefire proposal but instead used Pakistan as a messenger, accompanied by a "ten-point list" as a response. This diplomatic move involves at least three layers of calculation:
1. Setting Negotiation Thresholds: By proposing detailed terms (rather than outright refusal), Iran pushes the ball back to the U.S.. If the U.S. declines, the blame lies with the U.S.'s lack of sincerity; if the U.S.. is willing to negotiate, Iran has already taken control of the agenda.
2. Using a Third Pa

Solana (SOL) — Key Resistance Test After Four Consecutive Days of Rebound
Solana is currently trading in the range of approximately $79.60 to $82, with a 24-hour change of -1.70% to +2.28%, marking the fourth consecutive day of recovery. Against the broader market rebound, the Solana derivatives market shows a divergence in retail sentiment.
On the technical side, SOL found support around $77 before beginning to rebound, and is now testing levels above $80. Analysts believe that if SOL can effectively break through and hold above $82, it could attempt to challenge the resistance at $93 in mid-

Ripple (XRP) — A Crossroads of Regulatory Breakthroughs and Expectations
XRP is currently trading at about $1.29 to $1.33, with a market capitalization of about $70 billion. Compared with its historical high of $3.65 on July 3, 2025, it is down by about 64%. It has been in a downtrend for six consecutive months. After the SEC lawsuit case was basically settled, regulatory clarity provided policy support for XRP, but the price has not effectively rebounded.
On the fundamentals, Ripple has recently made a major breakthrough—by successfully acquiring BC Payments Australia to obtain an Australian

Ethereum (ETH) — A Tug-of-War Between Ethereum’s TVL Moat and Geopolitical Headwinds
Ethereum’s current quoted price is in the approximate range of $2,054 to $2,130. Over the past 24 hours, the fluctuation range has been between -0.03% and +2.8%, and overall it is showing a pattern of tight-range consolidation. The ETH/BTC exchange rate is about 0.048, having touched the year-to-date low. Ethereum is performing relatively weaker than Bitcoin, reflecting that in the current environment, capital is more inclined to concentrate on BTC as a hedge against risk.
Despite its lackluster price performa

A single needle helped me understand "liquidity hunting"
#My Trading Experience Sharing
I used to be curious: why does the price always hit my stop-loss and then suddenly surge in the opposite direction? Later, I realized that this is the main force harvesting liquidity.
Once, I went long on SOL, placing my stop-loss 2% below the previous low. At 3 a.m., the price precisely hit my stop-loss and then surged 15%. In that moment, I understood: stop-losses should be placed outside structural levels to leave room for the market to be "poked."
Since then, I either adjust my stop-loss dynamical

If I could go back to my first day in the industry, I would tell myself three things
#My Trading Experience Sharing
1️⃣ Don't touch derivatives unless you've first mastered spot trading — derivatives amplify human nature; without three years of real trading experience, your emotions will only be swallowed by leverage.
2️⃣ Always keep some USDT in your account — when opportunities come, having no bullets is more painful than missing out.
3️⃣ Stay away from "signal provider experts" in group chats — those who truly make money don't have time to call signals every day.
These three lessons are pai

The most "heartbreaking" trade taught me the importance of scaling into positions
#My Trading Experience Sharing
Last year, Bitcoin rose from 25,000 to 31,000. I went all-in chasing the high, and then a sudden drop wiped out my position. Later, I realized that if I had scaled into the position gradually, I could have preserved at least half of my capital.
The most "legendary" trade was earlier this year. I strictly followed the "core position + pyramid scaling" strategy to go long on ETH, from 2200 to 2800. Each addition had an independent stop-loss. That experience finally taught me: slow is