[crypto world] According to the latest data from CME's Fed Watch Tool, the market has a clearer expectation of the interest rate trend for January next year. The probability of a 25 basis point rate cut is at 22.1%, while the probability of maintaining the current interest rate level is as high as 77.9%. What does this mean? The market generally believes that the Fed is very likely to stay put at the beginning of the new year. This is crucial for the crypto assets market — every move by the Fed can leverage the entire asset market. The greater the certainty of interest rate policy, the clearer the pricing logic for risk assets. From this set of data, the market has already given its answer.

An Address started trading in mid-October and has currently gained a profit of 5.04 million USD, with a win rate of over 90%. The address's main Position is shorting BTC while also using small long orders to capture Rebounds, demonstrating superb trading skills and flexible Position management.

[Coin World] BNB Chain officially released an important reminder: BSCScan API has been officially discontinued. Developers need to prepare for migration as soon as possible and switch to Etherscan API V2 to maintain normal calls. To avoid service interruption and improve API performance, it is best to complete the migration to BSCTrace through MegaNode. This is a necessary operation for project parties that rely on on-chain data queries, and immediate action is recommended.

The latest Hurun Investment Report shows that the proportion of high-net-worth individuals investing in Digital Money is only 2%, but 25% plan to increase their investments, which may rise to 6% in the future. At the same time, the popularity of digital collectibles is rising, now ranking in the top ten investment categories with a share of 7%. This change reflects a re-evaluation of the value of digital assets.

Fed official Harmack pointed out that there are tricks in the November inflation data, and the real rise might be close to 3%. She believes the market has overestimated the neutral interest rate, indicating that the U.S. economy has the potential for sustained growth, which may affect the Fed's policy direction and have an important impact on liquidity and risk appetite in the crypto market.

[Coin World] Bitcoin's trend continues to improve, with the latest quote reaching the $89000 mark. In the last 24 hours, BTC has risen by 0.83%. Although the increase seems moderate, the trading heat is quite good — the daily volume has already reached $15.058 billion, indicating a steady market participation. This price level is undoubtedly a key position worth following for traders tracking Bitcoin's movements.

A certain Wallet Address withdrew 2000 ETH half an hour ago, indicating its preparation for new swing trading. The trader has conducted three ETH swing trades in the past 11 months, with a good track record, accumulating profits of 1.506 million USD, which is worth following.

Recently, the ETH price has shown weakness, while the Trading Volume has increased, indicating heightened selling pressure. The technical indicators show a decline in longer strength, and there is no obvious trend in the market in the short term. The current support level is at 2791.0, with buying opportunities at 2781.93, primarily depending on changes in Trading Volume to determine future market trends.

[Coin World] There is an interesting phenomenon in the on-chain data over the past month - market sentiment is recovering.
Back in mid-November, BTC was falling the hardest. During the period from November 13th to 25th, a large number of addresses switched from "holding on" to "completely emptying," and the volume of this change surged. This reflects the strong atmosphere of panic and bearish sentiment in the market.
However, the situation changed after entering December. Starting from December 1st, although BTC has been repeatedly confirming at the bottom, interestingly, the number of clearing addresses has begun to decrease. This change completely aligns with the bullish performance in the futures market—on one hand, more people choose to hold firm, while on the other hand, large futures traders are gradually increasing their positions, and the market sentiment has clearly warmed up.

On-chain monitoring data shows that a Large Investor recently withdrew 246,259 LINK from the exchange, holding a total of 445,775 LINK, with a total value of 5.57 million USD. This behavior may indicate their optimism about the future market, which is worth following for investors.

Recently, Dragonfly Capital transferred 6 million MNT to the trading platform, worth approximately 6.95 million USD, and still holds 9.15 million MNT, totaling over 15 million. Its Holdings distribution shows that institutions are cautiously testing the market reaction, and future trends need to follow market dynamics.

The CEO of Tether revealed that they are developing a mobile encryption wallet that integrates AI features, supporting Bitcoin, USDT, and the new stablecoin USAT, among others. This wallet is powered by their own technology and aims to integrate Tether's ecosystem assets. Tether is expanding into Web3 infrastructure.

Policy environment fluctuations bring uncertainty to the cryptocurrency industry, but can also be seen as an opportunity for reshaping. The industry needs to enhance practicality and economic value, integrate itself into the financial system, and remain resilient amid policy changes by proactively adapting rather than passively waiting.

The U.S. Congress is drafting the Digital Asset Equality Act, which aims to adjust the tax system for the crypto market. Among the provisions, transactions under $200 are exempt from capital gains tax, staking and mining earnings can be deferred for five years, and wash sale rules are expanded to increase market participation flexibility. The bill aims to balance tax guidance with industry needs.

Ethereum co-founder Vitalik Buterin recently made several asset adjustments, including liquidating tokens such as UNI, ZORA, BNB, and anonymously transferring approximately $565,000 USDC and 27 ETH via RAILGUN. These moves have attracted market attention and reflect the dynamics of the Ethereum community.

Statistics from the 2025 TGE show that 84.7% of projects failed at launch, with the median FDV decreasing by 71%. This indicates increased market pressure in token issuance, and investors need to evaluate projects more cautiously. The only 15% of projects that defied the trend and increased in value may have succeeded due to strong fundamentals and market timing.

A user lost 50 million USDT due to phishing and has reported the incident to law enforcement agencies while collaborating with security organizations to track down the attacker. The victim has issued a 48-hour ultimatum to return 98% of the assets; refusal will result in legal consequences. This incident highlights the difficulty of blockchain tracing and the victim's ability to fight back.

A certain DeFi protocol has launched a distributed shareholder subscription mechanism, with core logic driven by smart contracts, and power decentralized on the chain. The public protocol wallet address facilitates real-time tracking of fund flows. This design enhances trust and explores users' trust issues with financial protocols.

Ethereum founder Vitalik believes that cryptocurrencies have borne the mission of empowering humanity since their inception. This philosophy originates from the Pirate Party's ideology, emphasizing giving people control over their assets and data. Bitcoin and Ethereum are simply reinterpreting this ancient idea through code.