BTC / ETH: The entire market is bearish. Should we do the opposite?
First, the conclusion:
Don't believe in "consensus expectations must be countered." The price doesn't recognize this.
When the market reaches such a point, someone always starts shouting:
"Everyone is bearish, a rebound is coming soon."
But looking back at history, you'll see this doesn't work.
At the end of 2024, after a consensus bearish outlook, there was indeed a rebound.
At the beginning of 2022, a consensus bearish outlook was just the start of a bear market.
The difference isn't in sentiment but in whether the structure
View OriginalFirst, the conclusion:
Don't believe in "consensus expectations must be countered." The price doesn't recognize this.
When the market reaches such a point, someone always starts shouting:
"Everyone is bearish, a rebound is coming soon."
But looking back at history, you'll see this doesn't work.
At the end of 2024, after a consensus bearish outlook, there was indeed a rebound.
At the beginning of 2022, a consensus bearish outlook was just the start of a bear market.
The difference isn't in sentiment but in whether the structure









