# 经济政策

The Federal Reserve Board of Governors member Milan: The neutral interest rate has declined, making the policy more restrictive.
According to Ha Shilian news, as reported by Jin Shi, The Federal Reserve Board of Governors member Milan stated that the neutral Intrerest Rate has decreased, which has made the policy more tightening. If monetary policy is not adjusted, there will be risks. The view on the inflation outlook is more optimistic than many others, and there are risks associated with tightening monetary policy.
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Société Générale and Standard Chartered predict that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates by 50 basis points, believing that the current restrictive stance has been maintained for too long and requires a policy adjustment. The market generally expects a rate cut of 25 basis points, with the probability of a 50 basis point cut being only about 4%. #美联储 #降息 #经济政策

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The Federal Reserve has raised its 12-month inflation expectations to 2.6%, indicating an increased tolerance for inflation, which may lead to the implementation of looser policies to support lower-quality corporate credit spreads. #美联储 #通胀 #经济政策

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Former Federal Reserve official Bullard stated that a cumulative rate cut of 75 basis points by the end of the year would significantly ease monetary policy. He noted that the neutral interest rate remains quite low, possibly at 3.25%. #美联储 #降息 #经济政策

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European Central Bank Governing Council member Centeno stated that the European Central Bank cannot tolerate an inflation rate that remains below 2% for an extended period. #欧洲央行 #通胀 #经济政策

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Former Federal Reserve official Bullard stated that he would not vote to support a 50 basis point rate cut this week. #美联储 #降息 #经济政策

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Diane Swonk, chief economist at KPMG, stated that if the Federal Reserve extends the current policy into next year, it may lead to excessive stimulus, creating expectations of higher inflation among consumers and businesses. #美联储 #经济政策 #通胀