Viewpoint: The absence of extreme pump for Bitcoin by the end of the year means there will not be a big dump in the first quarter.

Odaily News Anthony Pompliano stated in an interview with CNBC that the lack of a crazy price surge for Bitcoin by the end of the year could serve as a catalyst to prevent a significant collapse in the first quarter of next year. He pointed out that given the current significant compression in Bitcoin's volatility, the likelihood of a 70% or 80% retracement is extremely low. Anthony Pompliano noted that although Bitcoin has not reached the $250,000 target expected by some investors, it has risen 100% in two years and nearly 300% in three years, demonstrating strong performance in the financial markets. He added that while the reduction in volatility may disappoint holders who value upside potential, it also provides safety for downside, reducing the probability of large-scale retracements. Currently, Bitcoin is trading at $87,436, down 7.39% since the beginning of the year. Additionally, Peter Brandt predicts that Bitcoin could fall to $60,000 in the third quarter of 2026, while Fidelity's Global Macro Research Director Jurrien Timmer believes Bitcoin's price could drop to $65,000 in 2026.