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The conflict between Thailand and Cambodia has been ongoing for some time, and it has become increasingly abstract, to the point that it has completely overflowed with a very strong Southeast Asian regional cultural flavor. Recently, what has drawn the most attention is not the tanks or rockets, but the Thai side blaring ghostly sounds through loudspeakers at the border at night. At first glance, it seems very magical, but upon reflection, it is quite realistic. Southeast Asia is inherently a place where religion, folklore, and ghost narratives are deeply ingrained; if your goal is not extermi
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Everything can be analyzed technically. The large volume at the bottoms of Dongting Lake and Poyang Lake twice indicates that the main players have entered the market.
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The US stock market is unstable tonight, with the Nasdaq 100 falling over 1.5%, Broadcom dropping more than 10%, Oracle declining over 3.5%, and silver continuing to hit new highs. For the first time, Bitcoin also plunged over 2000 points, both Broadcom and Oracle due to investors' disappointment with earnings reports and AI revenue and expenditure ratios.
BTC0.23%
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After eating a month, Kangxi is the illegitimate son of Xiaozhuang Hong Chengchou, this video basically points out all the key points, the first person to come up with this narrative angle is definitely a genius, a win-win situation for all parties, there is a geocentric theory to turn to the beauty of heliocentric theory, a logic is self-consistent to this extent, no matter how outrageous, it may be the closest to the truth of history
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By January, all the macroeconomic data will finally return to a normal update schedule, completely moving past the shadow of the last shutdown. Although there is still a risk of another U.S. government shutdown before January 30, the actual probability of a shutdown is much smaller than last time.
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The crisis between China and Japan is intensifying, and it's clear that China is putting pressure on Japan. It seems that the resolution of the Taiwan issue is going to be accelerated.
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The chaos in this circle is the same logic as when Chen Zhen previously affected the entire car review circle's livelihood. If this continues, what kind of image will the entire crypto community have in society? Would you still have the nerve to greet people when you go out, or tell your friends and family what you do? Most people are probably still in the country, right? If this attracts even stricter regulations and harsher crackdowns, it would be ridiculous.
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Tonight, the September PCE data, which was delayed by two months due to the US government shutdown, will finally be released. This is also the last influential macro data before the December 10 FOMC meeting and the final public observation window for Federal Reserve policy.
The current market game is essentially a battle between "lagging inflation rebound" and "forward-looking economic slowdown."
The current market expectations are an annual rate of 2.9% and a monthly rate of 0.2%.
The probability of a rate cut by the CME in December is 87.2%.
If tonight's PCE print comes in below expectations
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Shadow Fed Chairman Hassett has already begun his first substantial move.
He has explicitly called for the Federal Reserve to cut rates by 25 basis points at next week's meeting. The timing of this move, chosen during the Fed officials' mandated quiet period, is no coincidence—it is a precise power grab. While the official chairman is unable to speak, Hassett has taken the opportunity to make a public statement to the market that benefits his own standing. Judging by the market's high sensitivity to Hassett's remarks and their immediate pricing in, Wall Street has voted with its feet and, in e
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BTC has reached the ema20 daily chart resistance level at 92000. This level has not been broken since it came down from 116000. Let's see if it can push past this time; if not, it will have to go down to consolidate.
BTC0.23%
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BTC is indeed the canary in the liquidity indicators, and as soon as QT stopped, it began to rebound.
BTC0.23%
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I woke up on Monday morning to see that BTC has crashed again. The weekly and monthly lines have all taken a hit. Although I previously pointed out the 92-93 resistance level to Short in the group, I was too hung up on the precise point of 933, which led me to miss the opportunity and thus I have no qualifications to act smug. However, this drop was actually within reason, after all, it's unrealistic to expect a V-shaped reversal after such a level of decline. Even if we can surge to 100k this week, we still need to first retest below that level. Of course, I don't know if this is the
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The crypto world is still too advanced. Now, it's not just a liquidity barometer, but even the play styles have become indicators. Although the crypto world is slowly recovering this week and coinciding with Thanksgiving, there hasn't been much big news, but the traditional futures market has exploded, with silver experiencing an epic short squeeze and CME pulling the plug. Sound familiar? Is it a familiar recipe and taste? There's nothing new under the sun. The crypto world isn't lagging behind traditional markets; rather, it has anticipated and "simulated" all extreme financi
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I don't know if the media collectively releasing such news over the weekend counts as a shorting signal. However, the daily chart EMA20, which is 93000, is indeed a good resistance level for shorting.
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In layman's terms: Two regions in the United States have already entered recession, and if interest rates are not lowered soon, it may spread widely.
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I often wonder whether we, the native members of the crypto world who are immersed in it every day, are living in an information cocoon. How much information is there that we do not know, and how much information is passed around in the circle, fermented and amplified, then re-exported back to us? Today, I came across news on Wall Street Insights and other platforms about an external person relaying the comments from insiders regarding JPMorgan's warning that MicroStrategy might be removed from the MSCI index due to its large holdings of Bitcoin. Moreover, the level of fermentation of this
BTC0.23%
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The biggest geopolitical highlight this week is the 28 articles of Ukraine, which are even more outrageous than the unequal treaties of the late Qing Dynasty; even Li Hongzhang wouldn’t dare to sign them. If this is signed, then Russia and Ukraine have truly fought in vain for so many years.
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It's time to hit the 4h ema20 resistance level again. Since the drop in November, it hasn't broken through. I don't know if it can break through this time. It seems we need a pullback at the hourly level to build up strength before going up again.
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