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The Bank of Japan's recent rate hike is not primarily about "tightening," but about "moving towards normalcy." This statement may seem ordinary, but it actually reflects a key turning point as Japan's economy emerges from a long-term deflationary quagmire.
Let's look at the good news first. The ability to raise interest rates is backed by substantial improvements in economic fundamentals. Achieving inflation targets for 44 consecutive months, wage growth reaching a high of 5.25%, and corporate confidence hitting a four-year high—what do these data indicate? Japan has finally broken the "three
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BlockchainNewbievip:
Japan has finally woken up, but this move is a bit contradictory—raising interest rates while printing money, the policies are disconnected.
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Recently, interesting changes have appeared in on-chain data. An Ethereum treasury company is quietly positioning itself in ETH, and the scale of this move is enough to attract attention.
What does the data say? This company has already completed about 66% of its set goal. According to their plan, this means they now control approximately 3.3% of the total circulating supply of Ethereum worldwide. In other words, out of every 100 ETH in circulation, about 3 are held in this company's wallet. This proportion is not a small number.
What’s more noteworthy is the attitude of the management. They h
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ColdWalletGuardianvip:
3.3%? All locked up, now the supply is really going to be tight.
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Last night, Ethereum repeatedly oscillated between $2940 and $3020, with a narrow $80 fluctuation leaving both bulls and bears exhausted. Is this directionless volatility a prelude to a storm, or a trap set at a high level? As a trader who closely monitors on-chain data and market trends over the long term, I want to analyze the true logic behind this turbulence from several perspectives.
**The "Honey Trap" of News**
Recently, the White House economic advisor announced loudly that "inflation is only 1.6%, and the Federal Reserve has ample room to cut interest rates," which should have ignited
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MetaverseVagabondvip:
Institutional sell-offs for cashing out, whales turning around to buy the dip? This is just ridiculous, it's hard to tell who is real and who is fake.

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What is an 80-point fluctuation? Let's wait and see if it can break 2800 before making any assessments.

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Listening to the White House's rhetoric is just for fun; they can't even get the data straight and still dare to paint a rosy picture.

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With the Bank of Japan under such pressure to raise interest rates, ETH remaining sideways is already considered strong.

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On-chain whales made a move in the early morning, selling over 13 million dollars. These details are the real information.

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Institutions are reducing holdings, shouting every day, so why hasn't ETH collapsed?

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It's always institutions doing one set, big players doing another. Who are they copying homework from?

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All the news is honey trap; I agree. Fundamentals are the real key.

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If it can't break the 2800 level, it will just continue sideways. So boring.

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Conflicting signals in the capital flow indicate that some people haven't made up their minds yet. The real show is still to come.
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Having been in this market for eight years, I have seen too many stories of overnight riches, and even more tragedies of people losing everything overnight. Today I don't want to talk about flashy technical indicators or hype about 100x gains; I just want to share the insights I've gained from years of stepping on landmines with real money. Beginners, listen up—these words are worth keeping in mind; veterans, take a look too, and let's find the loopholes together.
**First Rule: The more idle you are, the more you make; the more frequently you trade, the more you lose**
When I first entered the
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BlockchainWorkervip:
Wow, a 36.5% fee—how often do you have to trade to rack up that much...

Frequent trading really is a suicide strategy. I'm currently not touching anything, and my account is actually increasing.

That part about liquidation was a bit heartbreaking; I do have friends who chased the rally with leverage and lost everything.

I have to admit, holding coins during a bear market is wise—history is right there, and coins that have survived multiple cycles can indeed withstand the test.
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The scarcity of digital gold far exceeds our understanding, and many investors are not even aware of what key things they have missed.
When I see the Bitcoin quote of $88,000, my thoughts are not "This price is outrageous," but rather "How many Bitcoins can actually be bought at this price?" The surface data looks okay—about 19.9 million have been mined, not far from the 21 million cap.
But when you open up on-chain data, you'll see a shocking truth: less than 45% of Bitcoins are actually in active circulation. What about the rest? Some are permanently lost, some are locked away long-term. The
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DuskSurfervip:
45% circulation rate? Wow, this data is shocking. No wonder some people say holding coins is just lying down to win.

Damn, this is true scarcity—Bitcoin is even more intense than I thought.

Satoshi Nakamoto's words are brilliant: losing coins is like indirectly giving us money, haha.

Over 7 million coins lost permanently? How many people would need to participate to make that happen?

The truth is, the circulating Bitcoin is actually less than half of the on-paper amount. No wonder the price only goes up.

I definitely won't lose coins, but those accidental losses by some guys are really like donating to the entire network.

$88,000 isn't expensive at all; considering actual scarcity, it should be doubled.

By the way, there are really between 2.3 million and 7.8 million coins permanently vanished, which is already super terrifying.

The deflationary pressure has been created by the lost coins; on-chain data is truly a black hole.
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#大户持仓动态 $FOLKS, in this wave of the market, I suggest everyone stay calm. Friends who started accumulating at $4 are now gradually reducing their positions. The risk of chasing highs is indeed significant, and taking short-term profits might be much wiser than holding on stubbornly. The hotter the market sentiment, the more we should be alert to the risk of a pullback. Users of leading exchanges with cost advantages have already started to lock in profits, and this signal is worth paying attention to.
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SerumSurfervip:
Friends who entered with four dollars are starting to run now. This signal really can't be ignored.
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#大户持仓动态 # Data Warning: $ETH is experiencing a massive outflow from exchanges, and the next wave of market movement may be imminent
Recently, there's a data point worth monitoring — the proportion of Ethereum held across all exchanges has fallen below 8%, a level never seen since 2015. At the same time, Bitcoin reserves on exchanges are only about 2.75 million coins.
This isn’t a situation caused by retail investors’ casual actions. Behind it are large funds moving. What are they doing? Transferring coins into cold wallets, participating in staking, or simply locking them up for the long term
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GasFeeDodgervip:
Whales are accumulating, we're bottom fishing. It looks good but is actually a trap.

Hold on to your holdings and don't be scared out by fluctuations.

Wait, is this time really different?

Coins in cold wallets are the ones that truly have a say.

I just want to know if the institutions are really in or not.

Losing your composure will lead to losses, that's right.

This wave feels a bit risky, better set a stop-loss first.

Big funds are playing, just follow the rhythm.

Everyone says you can make money in a bull market, but in reality, 99% of people are just paying tuition.
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#以太坊行情解读 Looking at this wave of market行情, there are opportunities for short positions. For Bitcoin and Ethereum, there are quite a few resistance levels to watch in the short term. Especially under the current market structure, short positions are indeed worth considering— as long as you manage risk properly and set stop-losses appropriately, these trading opportunities can still be captured. ETH has shown more noticeable volatility recently, and technical indicators have also provided some signals. Whether going long or short, the key is to rely on your own trading strategy and risk toleranc
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BearMarketNoodlervip:
If risk control is well managed, are you confident to short? I think most people are even reluctant to set stop-losses, and only cry when they get hit through by the market in the end.
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The Federal Reserve cut interest rates by 25 basis points as expected, and the US dollar subsequently declined. This seemingly routine monetary policy change conceals a larger shift: global capital is accelerating its flow into new venues outside the traditional financial system, with the cryptocurrency market becoming the first choice.
**The Chain Reaction of Liquidity Outflows**
As yields on traditional assets continue to be suppressed, institutional funds naturally seek an exit. The crypto market, as a high-growth, high-volatility alternative asset class, is attracting increasing attention.
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DegenWhisperervip:
Here comes this "layered strategy" talk again; it sounds convincing, but in real operations, you still have to rely on luck...
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#大户持仓动态 Some Observations on $0G
Recently, I've noticed that this AI public chain has been continuously building a bottom. Both the price and valuation are undergoing re-pricing—it's a bit like the market is waiting for a turning point. The on-chain activities of whales are also quite interesting, and their recent actions are revealing some signals.
The bottom range has been extended a bit, but from both technical and fundamental perspectives, the accumulation phase has not yet been fully completed. Valuation re-evaluation usually requires two things: first, improvements in on-chain data; sec
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AirdropNinjavip:
0G this bottoming process has taken a bit long, but judging by the actions of the big players, it indeed looks like they are bottom-fishing. Just waiting for the market sentiment to turn around.

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Honestly, if on-chain data can improve, valuation reassessment won't be far off. Now it's all about who acts faster.

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The bottom accumulation isn't complete yet; there's no need to rush. Watching the changes in large holders' positions is the real focus.

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Another round of shakeout in the AI sector. Whether 0G can turn around depends on its subsequent performance.

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Whales are stockpiling; I can only keep an eye on it, hoping it's not just another scam.

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We need to closely monitor position changes; bottoming really takes time.

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Let's wait until on-chain hype picks up; for now, it all depends on how the big players operate.

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Valuation reassessment of 0G requires preparation on both sides; otherwise, it’s easy to get caught.
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Last night, Japan's interest rate hike was finalized, and like many others, I placed buy orders at the $81,000 level. I was calculating whether I could pick up a bargain, but what happened? The night passed with no fluctuations in the market, and the buy orders sank without a trace.
This eerie calmness makes people even more uneasy.
This is not a sign of safety; rather, it indicates that smart capital has already been deployed in advance. All the panic and market-anticipated expectations are silently digested in this strange tranquility. What I truly fear is not a sudden crash, but another kin
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#以太坊行情解读 $BTC $ETH $BNB Things are getting interesting lately. The Bank of Japan has taken action again, and expectations of interest rate hikes are quite strong, but it seems the crypto circle here isn't taking it too seriously? The market reaction has been lukewarm, even steadily climbing. Honestly, this is a bit unusual—usually, when policy news comes out, the market either swings wildly or drops sharply. Why is it so calm this time? Have you thought about the reasons? Is it because the funds can support it, or has the market already priced in these factors? Would love to hear everyone's t
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MoneyBurnerSocietyvip:
Ha, it's the familiar "market reaction is lukewarm" routine again. I bet five dollars this was the signal before I last bottomed out.
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In the past two years, the AI boom has spilled over into the US power grid. Major tech giants are pouring money into building data centers, but they encountered an unforeseen ceiling—severe shortages of large power transformers.
Demand has long exploded. Order queues can stretch out for years, and production capacity simply can't keep up. But the core issue isn't how slow factory lines are; it's that they can't find enough skilled workers.
You might not know that manufacturing the core components of transformers requires a manual winding process. This isn't a job you can do with the push of a
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DancingCandlesvip:
Winding process is like the last bastion of manual craftsmanship; AI coming won't help.
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#以太坊行情解读 $BTC $ETH $BNB
The market is entering a critical juncture. The Federal Reserve hasn't fully turned off the tap, while Japan is raising interest rates again. The news is directly conflicting, giving both bulls and bears reasons to be optimistic or cautious. The easiest trap to fall into at this point is chasing gains and selling on dips—seeing altcoins hit daily limits and getting itchy to buy in, only to be caught off guard by a sudden reversal and become the bag holder.
Here are a few practical tips, learned from real trading experience:
**First, don't be blinded by high yields.** Al
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HackerWhoCaresvip:
Exactly right, but those who keep shouting about doubling are just here to scam the newbies.
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#BTC资金流动性 【BTC Price Trend Analysis 2025.12.20】
Currently, the Bitcoin situation is a bit delicate. From a technical perspective, the daily RSI is around 36, indicating that the bears still have the upper hand, and the MACD has also formed a death cross with green bars, signaling a medium-term weakness. However, the hourly RSI has already reached 63, showing a recovery from oversold conditions, and the green bars are shrinking, so a short-term rebound is possible.
**How to view support?** The recent defensive line is around 87,000-87,500 (intraday short-term support), and more importantly, the
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ser_we_are_earlyvip:
87500, this critical level must be firmly defended. If it breaks, look directly at 80000. Feel the magnitude of that decline.
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#BTC资金流动性 An interesting phenomenon: BlackRock's Bitcoin spot ETF (IBIT) performance in the first half of 2025 has been quite "embarrassing." According to data, this product stood out among the top 25 US ETFs by fund inflows, but it was the only one to record a negative return—a decline of 9.59%. This contrast is indeed a bit ironic. Against the backdrop of Bitcoin prices fluctuating and market liquidity remaining a hot topic, a spot ETF from a giant has failed to outperform the market, prompting reflection: is it a problem with the product itself, or is the market structure quietly changing?
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HodlAndChillvip:
Black swan, huh? Even BlackRock has had a setback?

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IBIT has fallen so much, is it really dead? Still dare to claim it's institutional-grade?

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Laughing, leading in capital inflow but at the bottom in returns, how impressive is that?

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Wait, isn't this logic reversed? Capital comes in but the price still drops? There's a traitor.

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The pitfalls of spot ETFs are greater than those of futures; don't just look at the flashy name.

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BlackRock really dug its own grave with this move. How could it possibly underperform the market?

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Those who say ETFs are safe, does it still hurt to admit it now? Negative returns, haha.

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Capital liquidity is truly a mystery. So much money flowing in but it only weakens the market.

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It feels like the market structure is really changing. No matter how strong the product, it can't save the overall situation.

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A 9.59% drop isn't much; Bitcoin's volatility is just like this.
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#BTC资金流动性 Mainstream coin influencers and industry voices are all paying attention to this wave of market movement, and the atmosphere feels quite lively. $BTC $ETH $BNB Everyone has their own story.
Currently, Bitcoin's liquidity performance is worth pondering—large transactions are having an increasingly obvious impact on price fluctuations, which is why there's been so much discussion lately. I want to hear your thoughts and analyze it together.
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ruggedSoBadLMAOvip:
Liquidity is indeed becoming more competitive; when big players move, the entire market follows, which seems outrageous.
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#BinanceABCs Weekend market conditions are suitable for short-term trading.
The idea of shorting at this price level is clear, with a target of around 500 points down.
The market is calm, with limited chances for large fluctuations; short-term trading is the way to go.
It's also okay not to rush into trades over the weekend—give yourself a break and relax.
Come back next week fully charged to go further.
The market is here, the opportunities are here, and so are we. $BTC $ETH
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GasWastervip:
500 points? Bro, are you serious? Haha
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This morning, I opened my phone and the margin call notification shattered my sleep—"BTC has fallen below 85,000, your position has been forcibly liquidated." My head was buzzing; this is the third time this week.
The group was filled with cries of despair. Lao Wang posted a screenshot showing his SOL long position vanishing in a 4% plunge. But interestingly, Ah Kai remained very calm. He said he had converted one-third of his position into stablecoins yesterday, and this wave he was able to withstand completely.
At that moment, I truly understood— in a waterfall market, how much you’ve earned
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#大户持仓动态 Don't let emotions hijack you! From 1200U to 9800U, here are the 3 iron rules of trading I summarized
The biggest enemy in the crypto world is often not the market itself, but your own greed and fear. Two months ago, a friend's account was only left with 1200U, and after a series of liquidations, his mindset completely collapsed. Later, he decided to restart according to the 3 principles I shared. After 30 days of sticking to them, his account grew to 9800U. This is not luck, but the result of method and discipline.
**Iron Rule 1: The Three-Partition Method for Positions, Always Leave
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DeFiDoctorvip:
It's a nice way to put it, but those numbers—"stop loss 6%, profit 28%"—according to medical records, most people give up by the second day. The real issue isn't the strict rules themselves, but rather—when does the market not suddenly change direction? In high volatility environments, these certainty numbers often result in being trapped. It is recommended to regularly review your mindset and not be blinded by stories of doubling your investment.
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