$BTC 4/6 Bitcoin Evening Analysis: 1-hour MACD death cross, short-term weakening, mainly bearish
Main direction: 1-hour death cross, weakening bullish momentum, rebound failure, mainly bearish, cautious on low positions
✅ Short-term bearish (main, trend-following)
Entry: 69,300–69,600 in batches (resistance after death cross rebound)
Target: 68,500–68,200 (structural support + 4-hour moving averages)
Stop loss: 70,000 (abandon short if broken, death cross invalidated)
✅ Light long positions (supplementary, very small size)
Entry: 68,200–68,500 stabilize before adding
Target: 69,000–69,300 (quick entry and exit)
Stop loss: 67,900 (weakens if broken)
1. 1-hour MACD at high position death cross (above zero line), green bars shrinking to red, short-term bullish momentum exhausted, correction confirmed.
2. Price faces resistance at 69,600–70,000, failure of top-bottom reversal, rebound weak.
3. Although 4-hour is bullishly aligned, the 1-hour cycle turns bearish first, evening likely to see a correction.
4. Death cross occurs at high levels, prone to rapid pullback and sharp decline.
5. Risk management: total position ≤20%, single trade ≤10%, trend-following short positions mainly, avoid bottom fishing, avoid holding large positions.
📌 Macro rhythm
CPI due on April 10, cautious funds, increased selling pressure at high levels.
1-hour death cross signal is clear, evening favors high short positions, low long positions wait for deep dip.
#加密市场行情震荡 #三月非农数据来袭 #btc
Main direction: 1-hour death cross, weakening bullish momentum, rebound failure, mainly bearish, cautious on low positions
✅ Short-term bearish (main, trend-following)
Entry: 69,300–69,600 in batches (resistance after death cross rebound)
Target: 68,500–68,200 (structural support + 4-hour moving averages)
Stop loss: 70,000 (abandon short if broken, death cross invalidated)
✅ Light long positions (supplementary, very small size)
Entry: 68,200–68,500 stabilize before adding
Target: 69,000–69,300 (quick entry and exit)
Stop loss: 67,900 (weakens if broken)
1. 1-hour MACD at high position death cross (above zero line), green bars shrinking to red, short-term bullish momentum exhausted, correction confirmed.
2. Price faces resistance at 69,600–70,000, failure of top-bottom reversal, rebound weak.
3. Although 4-hour is bullishly aligned, the 1-hour cycle turns bearish first, evening likely to see a correction.
4. Death cross occurs at high levels, prone to rapid pullback and sharp decline.
5. Risk management: total position ≤20%, single trade ≤10%, trend-following short positions mainly, avoid bottom fishing, avoid holding large positions.
📌 Macro rhythm
CPI due on April 10, cautious funds, increased selling pressure at high levels.
1-hour death cross signal is clear, evening favors high short positions, low long positions wait for deep dip.
#加密市场行情震荡 #三月非农数据来袭 #btc
