Aleeyou441

#美国非农就业数据未达市场预期 January 12th $BTC Nighttime Price Movement Observation
Yesterday midday, Bitcoin adjusted from a high level, breaking below the middle band of the Bollinger Bands, but did not continue to drop further. It is now fluctuating around 90700, with relatively solid support below. From the overall trend, the bullish pattern is still intact, and there has been no breakdown in the short term.
After the release of non-farm payroll data, the market reaction was somewhat lukewarm, but this actually provided an opportunity for accumulation at lower levels. If you are bullish, you might consider the following approach—
📊 Trading Strategy
Entry points in batches: Buy on dips in the 89500-90000 range
Expected targets: Partial exit in the 93000-93500 zone
Stop-loss setup: Adjust flexibly according to your risk tolerance, do not hold a full position and resist stubbornly
If this rebound can stabilize above 91000, then testing 93000 later becomes more confident. The key is to strictly control risk and not be scared out by short-term fluctuations.

Gold is likely to gap up at the open, and there is only one core reason behind it—significant recent changes in geopolitical tensions. Don’t worry about whether it’s true or false; the market’s reaction comes first, and gold prices are expected to head straight toward 4400. But at this point, stay calm and see if it can hold this level. If it cannot, it indicates a false alarm, and a pullback could happen at any time.
If official statements fail to provide substantial evidence (photos, videos, documents, etc.), and the other side remains active in the same area, it essentially confirms the "shorting scare" judgment. Risk aversion sentiment will quickly fade, and gold prices are likely to retest the 4300-4350 range.
Conversely, if solid evidence is presented—such as on-site videos or announcements of measures like oil sanctions—gold has no ceiling. Surpassing 4400 and pushing toward 4500 is not just a dream.
Friday’s non-farm payroll data will be the ultimate judge. There are three possibilities:
**Employment data exceeds expectations (over 200,000)**—The dollar and US bonds strengthen simultaneously, and gold bulls will exit, bringing the price back to around 4200.
**Employment data falls short of expectations (just over 100,000)**—The dollar plunges, and gold could rally further, potentially returning to 4500 or even higher.
**Data is average and unimpressive**—Gold will continue to oscillate between 4300 and 4500, waiting for the next variable to emerge.
The core logic is this: first, verify the authenticity of political events, observe the duration of risk aversion sentiment, then make decisions based on non-farm data. Confirmed signals are needed for short positions, trend confirmation for long positions, and low positions should be taken when data is weak.

This year has been fulfilling, moving forward into the next year
Happy New Year everyone

Can ordinary investors make money in the crypto market? The answer depends on the strategy you choose.
Many people fall into a misconception: thinking that only large capital has profit potential. Actually, that's not true. The key is not how big your account is, but whether your approach is correct.
Take $100 as an example. To turn it into $1,000, there are two paths. One is all-in gambling, betting on a 10x increase. It sounds great in theory, but reality is often harsh—when the market reverses, you can lose everything instantly. Cryptocurrency markets are highly volatile, and this kind of play essentially bets your principal on a gamble, with countless lessons already laid out.
What’s the other way? Using a rolling position strategy. This isn’t about chasing overnight riches, but about steadily growing your account through well-paced operations, keeping risk within manageable limits.
How exactly to do it? The logic is straightforward. First, break down your big goal: turning $100 into $300. It’s not about achieving it all at once, but through three rounds of operations, each aiming for a steady profit of $30-$50. After each round, lock in part of the profit, and let the remaining funds continue to roll over. This way, you can gradually accumulate wealth without being wiped out by a single market fluctuation.
This process may seem slow, like ants moving house, but the magic lies in compound growth. Small accounts can grow like a snowball through repeated rolling.
I’ve seen many friends start with just $200-$300, some even without stop-loss awareness, fearing to lose their only capital and holding on stubbornly. After teaching them this method, the change was quite noticeable. Setting clear stage goals, operating at key points, not only enhances psychological resilience, but also prevents a single fluctuation from causing a margin call, and through the power of compound interest, small funds can be amplified.
In practice, I do the same: maintaining a stable main position to generate basic returns and ensure account stability; using smaller positions to flexibly roll over and capture growth opportunities amid volatility. The combination of large and small positions disperses risk and strengthens the ability to withstand market fluctuations.
The core idea is this: don’t expect to double your money in one shot. Take it step by step; time and compound interest will give you the answer.

Recently, I came across a set of interesting on-chain data. In early January, the staking volume on the Ethereum Beacon Chain hit a new high. The specific figures are as follows — the total staked amount has reached 35.9 million ETH, with a staking rate of 28.91%. Among them, Lido, the liquid staking protocol, dominates with a share of 24.45%.
What’s even more noteworthy is the overall flow. Since the Shanghai upgrade, the net inflow on the Beacon Chain has exceeded 17.73 million ETH. What does this growth rate indicate? It shows that a large amount of capital continues to pour into the staking ecosystem.
From a trader’s perspective, these data are quite interesting. The continuous growth in staking volume is unlikely to be a coincidence — it reflects investors’ genuine assessment of Ethereum’s long-term value. Real money is being invested, indicating that the market’s foundation is indeed becoming more stable.
I have always believed that macro-level trends are more critical than short-term fluctuations. The current on-chain data just confirms this idea. Since last year, the staking boom has been heating up, and now the data continues to set new records. These signals all point in the same direction. As market consensus gradually coalesces, the market usually responds accordingly.
There may still be noise in the short term, but over a longer period, the expansion of the staking ecosystem generally signals greater market opportunities. Trust the real data on the chain; it never lies.

Cryptocurrency market trends for altcoins have indeed been unpredictable lately. This morning, some coins experienced a sudden vertical plunge, only to be hit again by high funding rates and clear signs of strong market manipulation.
The most dangerous strategy for these manipulated coins is to hold long positions for the long term. They simply can't withstand the tactics of the major players. Today's situation serves as a live lesson—after establishing long positions at 10:30 AM, the funding fees charged every hour approached nearly one-third of the position size. Coupled with the support from floating gains, it’s clear that the major players are forcing a squeeze. In this scenario, the short sellers have no power to fight back.
Of course, some traders want to try to profit from the last few seconds by catching the funding fee, which is not an impossible idea, but it’s crucial to control your position size—never be greedy. On the other hand, although I am currently operating with long positions, honestly: the more vigorous the upward move of a coin, the more severe the pullback often is. During such times, chasing long positions requires extra caution.
Don’t be fooled by the current upward trend. No matter how high these coins seem to fly, once the major players reverse their tactics, a waterfall decline can happen in the blink of an eye, and it’s hard to defend against.

#以太坊行情技术解读 The truth that took 8 years in the crypto world to understand: a steady $1000U can grow to $10280U, and "slow earning" is the key to lasting wealth.
Having been in this industry for 8 years, I’ve experienced margin calls, being trapped, and market crashes.
I used to look down on those who "take profits at 30%" and thought they were too timid. Using 100x leverage, filled with thoughts of "getting rich overnight," staying up late watching K-lines, and often bragging to friends "this is real bottom fishing." At that time, I was basically a gambler.
Until one early morning, when a sharp market drop hit, and my phone screen popped up with "Position Zeroed Out" — I almost threw my phone. Staring at my account balance, I finally woke up: all those so-called "experience" is just gambling with luck. Huge profits are like sugar-coated shells of a cannonball — attractive but deadly. Maintaining a steady pace and earning slowly is the only way to keep your principal alive.
From that lesson, I set three strict rules for myself, starting over with the remaining $1000U. After 60 days, my account balance jumped to $10280U. The method isn’t complicated; the core is to completely break away from greed:
**Rule 1: Fragment your positions; survival is more important than anything**
Divide $1000U into 20 parts, with a maximum loss of $50U per trade. Even if the opportunity looks good, only "take a bite" — don’t gobble it all up at once. The rule of this game is — survival, then tomorrow. If you die, everything is lost.
**Rule 2: Take profits quickly, close all at 30% gain**
Whether it’s mainstream coins or hot assets, once floating profit reaches 30%, close all positions immediately. Don’t hold onto the hope "this will double." The power of compound interest is beyond imagination: 50% profit in 10 days, 2.4 times account growth in 30 days, and a tenfold increase in 60 days. Math doesn’t lie.
**Rule 3: Strict risk control — don’t relax even a little**
Set stop loss at 10%, auto-close at that point, never hold through a loss. Limit yourself to 3 trades per day; if exceeded, close the software and stop watching. Take at least 50% of the profits to a cold storage wallet, ensuring profits truly "land" — don’t let floating gains turn into illusions.
The logic for choosing coins is also simple — only look at mainstream assets. Sit for an hour during the early session, another hour during the US session, and wait for a clear breakout at certain price levels before acting. No chasing rumors, no blind market predictions.
Some may complain about high fees? For those who have suffered big losses, a stable compound interest yield gained from spending on a meal is a blood profit deal.
Now I truly understand this saying: **Slow is fast; less is more**.
Let go of the obsession with "getting rich overnight," operate steadily according to the rules, and you can truly hold real gold and silver. After 8 years of experience as a rookie, I’ve reversed the situation — why can’t you? The key is discipline, patience, and respect.

Recently, those who have been watching the market should have noticed that the big pump trajectories of AIA, MYX, and COAI are almost identical.
First, let's look at their common points: they only open contracts and not spot trading. What does this mean? The project parties have limited chips in hand, and they can't smash the price because they have no bullets. Now, looking at the on-chain data, the liquidity pool is frighteningly thin; just a few hundred thousand dollars can skyrocket the price. As for market capitalization? All are kept below 50 million dollars, making it easy to operate with small caps, and pushing up prices isn't difficult.
The most critical signal - the contract open interest is about to catch up with the market value. What does this indicate? The smart money has long been in position.
There are also tricks to the time window. COAI took off in October, and AIA took over in November, with a main character rotating every month. You have to learn to time your entry, rather than chasing highs.
Take another look at the recent trends of ICP and NEAR. Doesn't it feel a bit familiar? The same formula, the same flavor. The market never creates deities out of thin air; it is merely repeating those already validated logics.
This line really does not rely on luck. You need to engrave experience into muscle memory and practice your market sense until it becomes a conditioned reflex. Review, compare, and summarize every day; it's tedious but effective. The market is very fair - it will filter out the lazy and reward those who are willing to work hard on the details.
Are you ready when the next opportunity comes?