Next Federal Reserve interest rate decision will be announced at 3:00 AM on January 29th, Beijing time!
The market currently expects rates to remain unchanged, with the probability of a cut under 5%!
According to the latest CME "FedWatch" data, the chance of a 25 basis point rate cut at the January 27–28 meeting is about 5%, with a 95% probability of holding rates steady.
Polymarket predictions show a 2.1% chance of a 25 basis point cut in January, 97.4% chance of no change, and a 29.6% chance of a cumulative 25 basis point cut in March.
At the start of the year, don’t rely solely on rate cuts
The market currently expects rates to remain unchanged, with the probability of a cut under 5%!
According to the latest CME "FedWatch" data, the chance of a 25 basis point rate cut at the January 27–28 meeting is about 5%, with a 95% probability of holding rates steady.
Polymarket predictions show a 2.1% chance of a 25 basis point cut in January, 97.4% chance of no change, and a 29.6% chance of a cumulative 25 basis point cut in March.
At the start of the year, don’t rely solely on rate cuts