#比特币投资主题 Strategy last week's moves are worth noting. Pausing Bitcoin accumulation and cash reserves surged from $1.442 billion to $2.19 billion — this is not a positive signal, but a typical risk hedging stance.
Let's break down the core logic: holding 671,268 BTC is already a heavy position. Given the recent 30% pullback from all-time highs, the cost-effectiveness of chasing higher has clearly diminished. Instead of stubbornly holding on, it makes more sense to increase cash reserves to cover 32 months of interest and dividend expenses — this is preparing ammunition for the "long-term crypto winter."
The mNAV of 1.1 is also interesting, indicating that the market’s discount to its net asset value is no longer unreasonable. But the more critical signal is the halt in accumulation — large institutions are avoiding the current risk-reward ratio.
From the perspective of on-chain fund flows, this is not an isolated event. In an environment of increasing market volatility, institutions tend to become more conservative. Going forward, attention should be paid to whether other whales follow similar strategies and whether Bitcoin’s net inflow data shows clear pressure.
The current situation is more like waiting for a clearer directional confirmation.
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#比特币投资主题 Strategy last week's moves are worth noting. Pausing Bitcoin accumulation and cash reserves surged from $1.442 billion to $2.19 billion — this is not a positive signal, but a typical risk hedging stance.
Let's break down the core logic: holding 671,268 BTC is already a heavy position. Given the recent 30% pullback from all-time highs, the cost-effectiveness of chasing higher has clearly diminished. Instead of stubbornly holding on, it makes more sense to increase cash reserves to cover 32 months of interest and dividend expenses — this is preparing ammunition for the "long-term crypto winter."
The mNAV of 1.1 is also interesting, indicating that the market’s discount to its net asset value is no longer unreasonable. But the more critical signal is the halt in accumulation — large institutions are avoiding the current risk-reward ratio.
From the perspective of on-chain fund flows, this is not an isolated event. In an environment of increasing market volatility, institutions tend to become more conservative. Going forward, attention should be paid to whether other whales follow similar strategies and whether Bitcoin’s net inflow data shows clear pressure.
The current situation is more like waiting for a clearer directional confirmation.