#预测市场 Seeing the public sale of Space, I was reminded of a recent discussion with friends. Someone asked me whether this prediction market with 10x leverage and potential 1000x returns is the next opportunity.

My answer is straightforward: opportunities do exist, but it's even more important to understand how much risk you can bear.

This project has some highlights—backed by Solana, a team from the former star project UFO, good funding background, and a mechanism where 50% of platform revenue is used for buybacks and burns. But none of these should be the reasons for us to jump in. High leverage is like a double-edged sword; it can amplify gains but also magnify losses. I've seen too many people attracted by the potential thousandfold returns, yet unprepared for the worst-case scenario.

If you're genuinely interested in such projects, my advice is: first, ask yourself three questions. One, if you lose this money, will your life be affected? Two, do you truly understand how prediction markets work? Three, what percentage of your total assets does your position represent?

Only when the answers to these three questions give you confidence should you consider participating. And even then, you must strictly control your exposure—never put all your eggs in one basket. Long-term stability often outweighs a single gamble in building wealth.