#预测市场 V God's recent viewpoint indeed hit my sore spot. Every day scrolling through social media, I see all kinds of sensational predictions—"某某币 will skyrocket" "The market is going to crash"—sounding as if they were true, but people don't have to take responsibility for these statements.

In contrast, prediction markets are different. Taking the English Civil War as an example, Elon Musk posted that it was "inevitable," but the data on Polymarket slapped that idea hard—only a 3% probability. Real money is on the line, and lying means losing money, which forces genuine judgments.

It's like installing a "rational filter" on social media. Those panic-inducing, attention-grabbing statements become especially powerless in front of prediction markets. Checking the data instantly cools the mind, and some false hopes can be shattered.

The various "inevitable events" in the crypto world over the past two years can actually be verified through prediction markets. Compared to listening to all kinds of calls and forecasts, watching real money betting on the market is more reliable. This is the most effective weapon against information noise.