#预测市场 Seeing the news about Kalshi and BNB Chain's partnership, I was reminded of a recent conversation with a friend. She’s very interested in prediction markets and thinks they are a good opportunity for rapid value appreciation. I asked her a question: If you put your living expenses into predictions and lose, what then?

She fell silent.

Prediction markets indeed offer a new way to participate, especially now that cross-chain integration makes operations more convenient—using BNB and stablecoins on BSC to participate directly, eliminating complicated bridging steps. But behind the convenience, we need to be more cautious.

The essence of prediction trading is high risk; wins and losses can change in an instant. My advice is: first, strictly control your position size, only invest funds you can afford to lose entirely—this isn’t about idle money, but about psychological resilience; second, don’t be fooled by descriptions of "the most active liquidity globally"—high liquidity doesn’t mean low risk, sometimes it indicates more volatility; finally, in the long run, prediction markets shouldn’t be a major part of your asset allocation.

True wealth growth relies on patience and planning, not on every new opportunity. We can try, but only if we protect ourselves first.