#预测市场 Looking at Polymarket's data, the probability of Bitcoin reaching $100,000 has dropped from 11% to 10%, and it has declined again in the past couple of days. The prediction of $95,000 remains at 32%, but the chance of falling below $80,000 has decreased from 24% to 18% — indicating that market sentiment is fluctuating back and forth.

Honestly, these data reflect the current situation: everyone is betting, but no one dares to place heavy bets. Reaching $100,000 by the end of the year is a dream, but the risk of dropping below $80,000 is easing — this is a state of oscillation in the middle. Prediction markets are all about probability games; data changes daily, and what’s being watched is the subtle shift in market sentiment.

Where Bitcoin will ultimately go depends on the upcoming reality. For now, the market remains very cautious.