Recently, a particularly heartbreaking phenomenon has emerged: good economic data has become the market's bad news. Strong employment reports and positive economic releases surprisingly lead investors to sell off. The reason is simple—everyone fears that the Federal Reserve will continue to raise interest rates or delay rate cuts as a result.
This contradictory market logic has become the norm. Traditional financial markets are thrown into chaos by the Fed's policy signals, but the crypto market instead sees opportunities amid this confusion. While stock investors are cutting their positions due to the Fed's hawkish stance, institutional funds are quietly entering, focusing on this 24/7 operational value trough.
**Why is good economic news considered negative?**
It sounds a bit absurd, but this is the current market reality. The Fed's interest rate decision power is too great, like a sword hanging over everyone's head. History shows that every time the Fed shifts to a hawkish rate hike cycle, Bitcoin is among the first to face selling pressure.
The most obvious example is 2022. That year, the Fed raised interest rates seven times in a row, with a total increase of 425 basis points, directly shocking the crypto market. The total market capitalization dropped from $2.9 trillion to just over $800 billion.
Worse still, Bitcoin's correlation with traditional risk assets is increasing. Data from 2025 shows that Bitcoin's correlation with the Nasdaq 100 index has reached 46%. This means macroeconomic fluctuations will directly impact the performance of the crypto market.
Against this backdrop, smart money has already begun reconsidering its allocation strategies. When traditional markets are troubled by policy uncertainty, the opportunity window in crypto is opening.
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SerumSqueezer
· 10h ago
Here it comes again, good economic news is actually bad news? That's really absurd.
Institutions are quietly making money, retail investors are still tangled up with the Federal Reserve.
That 2022 wave directly stunned people; who still dares to go all in now?
But with a 46% correlation... crypto still hasn't completely escaped the claws of traditional finance.
Smart money is entering the market, while we're still watching K-line and saluting.
This logic is really brilliant; the better the economy, the more you need to run.
Listening to this, it feels like the crypto world still has to wait for the moment when the Federal Reserve turns around.
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AlphaLeaker
· 15h ago
This is outrageous. Good economic news is actually a bad signal? The Federal Reserve has been holding that knife for too long.
The group cutting losses should really look at our side; institutions have already quietly jumped in.
That 2022 wave was too brutal, wiping out 70%, and now they want to do it again?
46% correlation... shows that BTC still can't shake off the constraints of traditional finance.
Alright, let's keep waiting for rate cuts; anyway, we have plenty of time.
This logic is really incredible—good news = bad news, the market is going crazy.
Smart money is quietly positioning, I’m watching.
Just one word from the Federal Reserve makes the market tremble; what other bad news do we need?
Let's wait and see what happens next; it feels like the trend is about to change.
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GasGoblin
· 12-27 01:38
Listen, the Federal Reserve is really playing everyone to death. When the economy is good, it's actually a bad thing? That logic is incredible haha
Institutions are secretly accumulating chips, and we're still here hesitating
46% correlation? Then it was time to diversify the portfolio; you can't put all your eggs in one basket anymore
That crash in 2022 was a direct collapse. Now it looks like a bottom signal
The crypto market escaping the Federal Reserve's grip in the past 24 hours—that's true value
Basically, it's just waiting for the Federal Reserve to pivot—that's the real reversal
Fools selling off should check on-chain data; smart money has already moved in
Whenever the Federal Reserve speaks, BTC gets hit—that pattern is now very clear
Macroeconomics is chaotic, but that's actually a good time to get in. Whoever understands this makes money
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MevWhisperer
· 12-25 21:51
Is a strong economy actually bad news? That logic is really clever. A single statement from the Federal Reserve can cause the entire market to reverse.
That wave in 2022 was really brutal, dropping from 2.9 trillion to just 800 billion. Luckily, I made it through to today.
I believe institutions are secretly entering the market; anyway, retail investors tend to cut losses at the best entry points.
Bitcoin has a 46% correlation with the Nasdaq, indicating that macro factors still matter. But the advantage of overnight trading is still there.
How does smart money play? Most likely, they buy in batches on dips. Anyway, they can move 24/7, so no rush.
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FrogInTheWell
· 12-25 21:45
Good economy, bad market, this logic is amazing. The Federal Reserve is the real big player.
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GmGmNoGn
· 12-25 21:38
Laughing to death, the good economy is actually bearish, this market is really crazy
A single statement from the Federal Reserve can turn the market upside down, the crypto circle is indeed picking up bargains
That wave in 2022 I lost everything, now seeing a 46% correlation, it feels like another wave is coming
Wait a minute, are institutions quietly entering the market? Should I also get on board?
The ones cutting losses are retail investors, I need to follow the smart money
This logic is utterly ridiculous, good news turns into bad news, truly incredible
Feeling like the next shift by the Federal Reserve will be the moment for BTC to take off, whoever believes will profit
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StablecoinSkeptic
· 12-25 21:35
Is it the same old story? Good news turns into bad news, and bad news remains bad news. Ultimately, it's the Federal Reserve causing trouble.
I've seen enough of the 2022 wave. Do they really want to do it all over again?
I believe institutions are bottom-fishing, but retail investors really need to wake up. Those who chase highs are always the leeks.
Recently, a particularly heartbreaking phenomenon has emerged: good economic data has become the market's bad news. Strong employment reports and positive economic releases surprisingly lead investors to sell off. The reason is simple—everyone fears that the Federal Reserve will continue to raise interest rates or delay rate cuts as a result.
This contradictory market logic has become the norm. Traditional financial markets are thrown into chaos by the Fed's policy signals, but the crypto market instead sees opportunities amid this confusion. While stock investors are cutting their positions due to the Fed's hawkish stance, institutional funds are quietly entering, focusing on this 24/7 operational value trough.
**Why is good economic news considered negative?**
It sounds a bit absurd, but this is the current market reality. The Fed's interest rate decision power is too great, like a sword hanging over everyone's head. History shows that every time the Fed shifts to a hawkish rate hike cycle, Bitcoin is among the first to face selling pressure.
The most obvious example is 2022. That year, the Fed raised interest rates seven times in a row, with a total increase of 425 basis points, directly shocking the crypto market. The total market capitalization dropped from $2.9 trillion to just over $800 billion.
Worse still, Bitcoin's correlation with traditional risk assets is increasing. Data from 2025 shows that Bitcoin's correlation with the Nasdaq 100 index has reached 46%. This means macroeconomic fluctuations will directly impact the performance of the crypto market.
Against this backdrop, smart money has already begun reconsidering its allocation strategies. When traditional markets are troubled by policy uncertainty, the opportunity window in crypto is opening.