PANews March 2 News, according to Jin10 reports, last weekend, due to the closure of traditional financial markets worldwide, a large amount of capital flowed into prediction markets such as Polymarket and Kalshi, as well as decentralized exchanges like Hyperliquid. Investors attempted to hedge risks or speculate on the subsequent impacts of the US and Israel’s attacks on Iran through these platforms. However, this capital frenzy quickly turned into a storm of public opinion. On Saturday, a large number of doubts and accusations emerged on social platform X, alleging that some insiders exploited their advance knowledge of military strikes to profit heavily in prediction markets.
In response to the criticism, a White House spokesperson defended to the media, saying, “The only special interest guiding the decision-making of the Trump administration is the greatest interest of the American people.” In fact, efforts to crack down on insider betting using international conflicts have already begun in some regions worldwide. Facing these accusations, Kalshi CEO Tarek Mansour defended that all fees generated from user participation in the controversial markets would be refunded, and positions established before Qasem Soleimani’s death would be forcibly settled at the final trading price. However, this “forced liquidation” decision did not quell the controversy; instead, many users complained on social platforms that they had been played by the platform.
Disclaimer: The information on this page may come from third parties and does not represent the views or opinions of Gate. The content displayed on this page is for reference only and does not constitute any financial, investment, or legal advice. Gate does not guarantee the accuracy or completeness of the information and shall not be liable for any losses arising from the use of this information. Virtual asset investments carry high risks and are subject to significant price volatility. You may lose all of your invested principal. Please fully understand the relevant risks and make prudent decisions based on your own financial situation and risk tolerance. For details, please refer to
Disclaimer.
Related Articles
Polymarket Strengthens DeFi Capabilities With Brahma Deal
Polymarket has acquired Brahma to enhance its technology and expand its prediction market capabilities. This integration aims to improve infrastructure and user experience, reflecting a trend of consolidation in the crypto industry.
TodayqNews1h ago
MLB Designates Polymarket as Exclusive Prediction Market Trading Partner
Gate News reported that on March 19, Polymarket announced that MLB (Major League Baseball) has designated Polymarket as its exclusive prediction market trading partner. The collaboration will enable fans to trade MLB-related event contracts on the platform, including game outcomes, player performance, and other content.
GateNews3h ago
Polymarket "Will gold fall below $4700 by end of March" prediction probability rises to 95%
Gate News reports that on March 19, the probability of "gold falling below $4,700 before the end of March" on the Polymarket prediction market surged to 95%, with a 24-hour increase of 56%. Gold prices dropped sharply today, with gold futures prices now breaking below $4,700 per ounce. This prediction event is based on the settlement price of the gold (GC) futures main contract published by CME Group (Chicago Mercantile Exchange Group), not spot prices.
GateNews3h ago
Prediction Market Traders Bet $92,000 on US-Iran Ceasefire Agreement
Gate News reported on March 19 that a prediction market trader who previously profited from predictions related to Venezuelan President Maduro has recently wagered $92,000 on a prediction of a ceasefire agreement between the United States and Iran. The trader has gained attention for their accurate judgments in political event prediction markets, and this large bet demonstrates their optimistic outlook on the trajectory of U.S.-Iran relations.
GateNews3h ago
Polymarket: Probability of Neymar Playing in 2026 World Cup at 44%
According to Polymarket monitoring, the probability of Neymar representing Brazil in the 2026 World Cup is 44%. Due to injuries and age factors, his playing time has declined, and Brazil is gradually introducing young forwards. The head coach requires players to be at 100% fitness to be selected.
GateNews4h ago