Stop gambling within the "Fortune" framework: Don't ask AI whether to buy or not, first talk to it about your thinking and current situation.

Author: Rainy Sleep

Human instincts drive us to act immediately when facing problems, as if action can offset anxiety about the unknown. However, the biggest trap is that people’s quick actions often do not match the resources they投入. Most people’s actions are just pseudo-diligence to relieve anxiety. When the speed of action exceeds the precision of thinking, your principal consumption is no longer an investment, but gambling on luck—you are using tactical diligence to cover strategic laziness.

This is a problem everyone encounters. Whether you can face this issue directly and come up with effective solutions can truly widen the gap between people.

Remember, think before you act.

Step One: Find Your Unique Advantage

0xlykt has written two articles describing how to “Finding Edge.”

https://0xlykt.substack.com/p/finding-edge

https://0xlykt.substack.com/p/finding-edge-part-2-table-selection

I suggest reading these two articles first before continuing.

In simple terms, 0xlykt has built a capability framework that helps the general public seek opportunities in the current crypto market environment. Its core idea is to encourage market participants to proactively choose suitable tables with many fish, rather than engaging in zero-sum games.

However, I think these two articles are of reference value, but the described approach has high thresholds and a single path, is overly idealized, and not suitable for everyone.

Personally, I believe that at the practical level, we can fully find suitable and effective paths through dialogue with AI. Just as @Wuhuoqiu mentioned, “AI is not a ‘cognition leveling device,’ but a ‘cognition leverage amplifier.’”

The specific form of prompts varies from person to person. The core idea is to analyze and extend. Analyze your personality, cognition, and ability framework, and then extend to execution ideas and details for different scenarios.

Don’t ask AI how to make money, whether to buy or sell, but confide your thinking and current situation to AI.

Discuss with AI:

Your childhood, personality, hobbies, and early life experiences;

Your investment experience and summaries, judgments about the future;

The targets you favor, holdings, logic, and holding periods;

Opportunities you missed, and why.

One point to note is that AI prefers to follow your lead, so you need to identify points you don’t understand or doubt from AI’s responses and continue discussing. Or, you need to remind AI not to be a mere echo, but to argue with reason and evidence.

This dialogue is essentially a conversation between the superficial you and the inner you—more confrontation. The conversation should go against the flow, not with it.

Advantages and potential advantages will be reflected in the dialogue. After all, using AI for elimination is much more efficient than thinking and practicing one by one yourself. The subsequent challenge is your execution ability to profit from your advantages.

Step Two: Build an Execution System Framework

Finding advantages is essentially finding a profitable direction. After identifying the direction, it doesn’t mean everything is smooth sailing; instead, you need to continue working hard and build a systematic framework for your subsequent execution.

The core goal of building a system framework is to enable you to respond agilely in a dynamic market—react quickly based on different market conditions and opportunity types.

The core of building a system framework is review and summary.

For example.

If you review $AERO 's pump process (opening, Coinbase spot listing, pump timing, etc.), you won’t miss $ZORA 's upward movement opportunity. These two trades correspond to Coinbase’s core needs: $AERO relates to the Cancun upgrade, Coinbase needs to raise $AERO 's price to capture liquidity for Base. Similarly, $ZORA also aligns with Coinbase’s core needs: Coinbase is betting on Base App and Creator Coins in the future. Zora is a core component of the new phase of Base, and Coinbase needs to pump $ZORA to expand the influence of Base and Creator Coins. In my view, the opportunity attributes of $AERO and $ZORA are essentially the same.

Review and summary are not limited to experience summaries of each trade but should extract the underlying logical commonalities from cases and transform them into a reusable decision model: signal recognition —> logical validation —> execution entry.

Finally

After all this rambling, in simple terms, what I want to say is to know yourself. Most of the pain in trading comes from personality and position mismatches. Abandon the all-round fantasy; human ability has boundaries. You can’t want everything. Find or cultivate your advantages, and use your strengths and the ability framework built on those advantages to make money.

Happy New Year to everyone!