Altcoins Track 27–30 Day Decline Model With December 10–15 Alert

The chart shows altcoins repeating earlier decline phases that match a long pattern of failed rallies across recent months.

A 27 to 30 day model appears again on the chart and it aligns with a projected December 10 to 15 window.

RSI values stay low and match past capitulation points while a short pump may appear but fade within ten days.

Crypto analyst Master Kenobi shared new chart data suggesting that the market bottom may not be in yet and that a deeper capitulation window could open between December 10th and December 15th. The charts compare current patterns to earlier cycles and show how altcoins have moved through repeated phases of recovery, decline and short rallies.

Signals From Earlier Cycles

The chart displays price action across several months using multiple moving averages and trend markers. A long descending path shows how altcoins have fallen since August, with repeated failed recovery attempts. Each downward phase is marked by arrows showing where price reacted to the same support zone.

Several shaded regions illustrate earlier capitulation periods. These areas align with points where the market formed short-lived rallies before falling again. The pattern from late 2024 appears similar and shows how altcoins produced a brief mini bull market that did not extend into the next quarter.

The analyst notes that the summer period also showed a temporary rally. The chart indicates that this earlier move failed to establish a long-term trend. Instead, it was followed by renewed selling pressure that continued into the final months of the year.

Projected Timeline Into December

According to the shared view, the current downturn may continue for another 27 to 30 days if the market follows last year’s model. The red arrows point to repeated tests of a major support line that stretches across the entire chart. These tests show how price has returned to this zone during every downturn phase.

In addition, the RSI indicator on the lower panel shows readings under 40 for extended periods. These levels match earlier capitulation zones shown on the chart. The RSI also shows brief spikes marked by yellow arrows, each followed by a quick reversal back into lower ranges.

The analyst adds that a mini pump may form within the next 10 days, but the chart suggests such a move would be brief. The pattern marked in earlier shaded regions supports this, as similar pumps lasted only a short period.

Market Context And Community Reaction

The commentary states that some coins enjoyed a mini bull market between November and December of 2024. The chart shows that this move did not break above the long-term resistance lines. Instead, price flattened before dropping again through early 2025.

Several arrows on the chart highlight points where price met the same downward trendline. These touches show how the market reacted at predictable levels across multiple months. Because the current structure resembles earlier periods, some traders are considering whether the cycle is entering a deeper phase.

The post also notes that the idea is speculative and not financial advice. However, the shared timeline raises one central question for traders today: could the market see another significant drop before mid-December arrives?