#十一月将会是大牛行情吗？

The current Federal Reserve cannot maintain a high interest rate for a long time like Volcker did. Once the interest rate cut starts, it is impossible to raise it again. If Trump is elected, he will pressure the Federal Reserve to continue cutting interest rates, and there is still room for the interest rate to decline from now to the beginning of next year. At present, the resilience of the U.S. economy looks good, and there are signs of a rebound in inflation. The policy of imposing tariffs will further stimulate inflation, so do not expect the Federal Reserve to quickly cut the interest rate back to zero as many people expect.
The Exchange Rate of the US dollar is not good, and there is also a negative premium for oil. Many people are worried whether to sell due to the loss in the Exchange Rate. The periodic decline of the US dollar has begun, but there is no need to be overly pessimistic in the short term, because other countries will cut interest rates more quickly than the United States. It is more appropriate to wait for the flash crash premium to come out.

Will there be any changes in the election? Will the interest rate cut be suspended due to politics and inflation? Will geopolitical conflicts lead to large-scale wars?