$ETH April 14 Evening Bitcoin Strategy | 1-Hour MACD Bearish Divergence Death Cross Warning, Avoid Chasing High, Reversal Play for Pullback

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【Core Warning】
Clear high-risk signals have appeared in the market! The 1-hour MACD shows a typical bearish divergence + death cross confirmation pattern, with the price surging to 2416.40 to set a new high, but the MACD red histogram momentum is shrinking and turning green, indicating that the bullish strength has been completely exhausted, and the technical pullback risk has been fully released.
The short-term shift from strength to weakness is complete; the main strategy is now to play the pullback with reverse short positions at high levels, with support below for low buys to rebound. Absolutely avoid blindly chasing highs!
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High Short (Main Strategy: 1-Hour Death Cross Hedging)
Entry 1 (Trend-following Short): 2350 - 2370 range
• Logic: Relying on the 1-hour MACD death cross + breaking below the middle band of Bollinger Bands signal, directly enter short to capture the pullback space after the main rally.
• Stop Loss: Above 2390 (only if the price stabilizes above this level, indicating the death cross is a false signal).
• Target: 2320 (1-hour Bollinger middle band) → 2290 (previously dense trading area + short-term support)
Entry 2 (Rebound Short): 2380 - 2400 range
• Logic: If the market temporarily rebounds without strength, oscillate below the upper Bollinger Band and face downward pressure, continuing the bearish trend.
• Stop Loss: Above 2420.
• Target: 2330 → 2285
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Low Long
Entry 1: 2285 - 2300 range
• Logic: This zone is the double support of the 1-hour Bollinger lower band and the previous consolidation center, also the core defensive line of the bullish trend. After a pullback stabilizes here, reverse to go long.
• Stop Loss: Below 2260 (a break indicates the 1-hour bullish trend is completely broken).
• Target: 2340 → 2380
Entry 2 (Secondary Confirmation Low Long): 2250 - 2270 range
• Logic: After extreme oversold conditions, add some long positions to fill the gaps, waiting for bullish reversal signals like bullish engulfing candles before entering.
• Stop Loss: Below 2230.
• Target: 2320 → 2360
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