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$BTC 4/13 Bitcoin midday precise analysis | 15-minute death cross pullback, Bollinger middle band under pressure, narrow range oscillation, right-side trend-following
Main direction
Bitcoin’s 15-minute MACD has formed a death cross (DIF crosses below DEA, MACD value -1.1). The price retraces to the Bollinger middle band (around 70956) and faces pressure, with bears dominating in the short term;
71100-71287 is a strong short-term resistance. Only a volume breakout can repair the death cross and bring the price back to an upward move;
70625-70458 is a strong short-term support. If it breaks, it will open more downside room—looking down to 70200→70000;
The 15-minute death cross leads the pace. In the short term, it is oscillation with weakness overall. Follow the right-side trend, with light positions and quick in/quick out.
✅ Low long (main strategy · right side)
• Entry 1: 71100-71287 volume breakout, break through and hold back above; right-side chase long (death cross repair signal)
• Entry 2: Support 70625-70458 stabilizes and shows signs of stopping the decline (e.g., a hammer candlestick + reduced volume); buy on the pullback
• Target: 71287→71500 (quick exit in the short term; don’t hold on)
• Stop loss: Long chase at 71100→70900; long at 70625→70350
✅ High short (follow the 15-minute death cross · auxiliary strategy)
• Entry 1: Near 71100-71287, price stalls and lingers; short with a small position size
• Entry 2: 70625 breaks down with volume; the rebound lacks strength—right-side chase short
• Target: 70625→70458→70200
• Stop loss: Short at 71287→71450; short at 70625→70800
Technical logic
1. Pattern structure
• 15-minute MACD death cross: bearish momentum continues to release, and the price is under pressure at the Bollinger middle band
• Bollinger band range: upper band 71287 (resistance), middle band 70956 (near the current price), lower band 70625 (support)
• Key highs and lows: high at 71750, low at 70458, forming a range of 70458-71750
• RSI1 around 40.7, in a neutral-to-weak zone, with no clear overbought or oversold signals
• Volume: current trading volume is below MAVOL5/10; shrinking volume means range oscillation—only a volume breakout/breakdown is effective
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