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Last night, I shorted BTC at 72,000.
It's not mindless shorting; it's just that the sentiment was too consistent.
The market has been waiting for "good news from negotiations between the US, Iran, and Israel,"
but the market never rewards consensus expectations.
If the talks succeed — the good news is already priced in early, making it more likely to drop.
If the talks fail — then it's even more straightforward, risk aversion kicks in, and a liquidity wipeout happens first.
At this position, I'm not afraid of having no direction,
I'm only afraid of standing on the crowd's side.
I don't bet on the outcome; I bet that
when the news is confirmed, someone will definitely get liquidated.
This trade is either a slap in the face or a profit.
But in this kind of situation, not taking action is the biggest loss.