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Last 12 hours, will Trump take action?
Trump's deadline for Iran is only half a day away, and based on the current situation, the chances of him changing his mind are very slim. Iran's stance is also very firm, and the conditions proposed by both sides are too far apart; the U.S. is unlikely to accept demands for war reparations and Strait tolls.
Therefore, the negotiations are mostly a formality, and the real focus is whether a conflict will break out next. If military action occurs, the U.S. is very likely to choose bombing and seizing key islands, which can both demonstrate strength and keep costs relatively manageable.
Once a war begins, the market will react immediately: oil and gold prices will rise, the dollar will strengthen, and inflation expectations will heat up. U.S. stocks will diverge, with energy and defense stocks potentially benefiting, while tech stocks may face pressure.
For Bitcoin, this is a critical test — will it act as a safe haven like gold, or will it fall along with risk assets? The support level around $65,000 will be tested. The situation will become clear tonight through tomorrow morning.
If you want to know how to quickly assess market direction and adjust your positions in the face of such breaking news, #加密市场行情震荡 #BTC