4.4 Market Analysis

The weekend is expected to be the same kind of day—there’s not much volatility. BTC is expected to move up and down by several hundred points, and ETH by about ten-odd US dollars. Liquidity is thin. The market “bears” are looking for continued downward movement next week. With 67,300 as your backstop, keep shorting. Here’s a simple analysis.
$BTC ‌ Current price: Ranging between 66,700 and 67,100

Daily: Weak consolidation at the bottom; all moving averages are pressing down; MACD has not formed a golden cross, and RSI is neutral

4 hours: Support at 66,500, resistance at 67,400; rebounds are repeatedly suppressed

1 hour: Narrow range, 66,500–67,500; grinding sideways with little ability to push upward

Key Levels:
Bottom line: 66,000 (if broken, look for a quick drop)
Longs hold steady: 67,000 (otherwise, any rebound is just a bull trap)

Trading Strategy (4.4)

1. Short at higher levels (main)

Entry: 66,800–67,300, short in batches
Add position: around 68,000 (reserved)
Stop loss: 700 points (about 67,700 above)
Targets: 66,500 → 66,000 → 65,000

2. Go long at lower levels (secondary, quick in and quick out)

Entry: 65,000–65,700, long
Stop loss: below 64,200
Targets: 66,700 → 67,300

4.4 $ETH ‌ Market and Strategy

Current status:
Current price: 2,045–2,060, slightly weak
Structure: Strong resistance at 2,080–2,100; the 2,000 psychological level

Trading Strategy

1. Short at higher levels (main)

Entry: 2,060–2,080, short
Stop loss: above 2,110
Targets: 2,030 → 2,010 → 1,980

2. Go long at lower levels (secondary)

Entry: 1,970–1,990, long
Stop loss: below 1,940
Targets: 2,040 → 2,070

Summary

Big picture: The bottom is “messing around” and refuses to improve; weakness unchanged
Short-term: Rebounds lack strength; range-bound consolidation
Trading: Within the range, sell high and buy low to “pluck the profits”; once key levels break, follow the trend

Risk Reminder: The above analysis and strategies are for reference only; risks are your own. Publication may be delayed—please refer to the live order book for the specifics. #美国初请失业金人数下降