#Gate广场四月发帖挑战 4.3 Evening BTC/ETH Market Forecast and Analysis

The non-farm payrolls report exceeded expectations, directly breaking the market’s optimistic outlook for Fed rate cuts. The dollar strengthened, and U.S. Treasury yields rose, fundamentally suppressing the valuation of cryptocurrencies, with funds accelerating out of high-risk assets.
In the short term, sentiment is dominated by bears: after the data release, the market immediately declined, completely undermining bullish confidence. All evening rebounds are merely technical corrections and unlikely to change the overall downward trend.

BTC Market Analysis
Currently, BTC is quoted at approximately 66,830, with a daily low of 66,240. The key resistance and support levels for the evening are clear: strong resistance above at 67,350-67,500, which is the intraday rebound high. After the data release, the rebound faces pressure, and the probability of a breakthrough tonight is very low. The first resistance is at 67,000-67,100, which is the core pressure zone for short-term rebounds. Rebounds here are met with resistance and are the preferred zone for short positions. The first support below is at 66,240-66,500, which is the intraday low; after the data release, the probability of a breakdown significantly increases. Strong support is at 65,800-66,000, which is a medium-term defense level. If this is effectively broken, it will open the downside space, with targets around 65,000-64,500.

ETH Market Analysis
Currently, ETH is quoted at approximately 2,058.94, with a daily low of 2,039.12. The trend is similarly weak: strong resistance above at 2,065-2,080, which is the intraday resistance zone. After the data release, the rebound is weak, and a breakthrough tonight is unlikely. The first resistance is at 2,060-2,065, which is the short-term rebound pressure zone and the priority area for shorting. The first support below is at 2,039-2,045, which is the intraday low; after the data release, a breakdown is highly probable. Strong support is at 2,000-2,020, which is a psychological and technical support level. If broken, it will trigger panic selling, with targets around 1,950-1,920.

Evening Trading Strategy
BTC Trading: Light short positions can be opened on rebounds to the 67,000-67,100 zone, with stops above 67,350. Targets first at 66,240-66,000. If a clear breakdown occurs, hold for 65,500-65,000. Do not chase longs; only consider light long positions when the price stabilizes around 65,800-66,000 for oversold rebounds, with stops below 65,500 and targets at 66,500-66,800. Quick in and out.

ETH Trading: Short positions can be established on rebounds to the 2,060-2,065 zone, with stops above 2,080. Targets first at 2,039-2,020. If broken, hold for 2,000-1,980. When the price retraces to 2,000-2,010 and stabilizes, consider small long positions with stops below 1,980 and targets at 2,040-2,050, strictly controlling position size.