Deutsche Bank Experiment: All three major AI models believe that AI is more likely to boost inflation rather than reduce it in the short term

DeepFlowTech · 2026-04-02T05:25:01+00:00

Research from Deutsche Bank shows that the three major AI models unanimously believe that AI has a negligible impact on inflation, and the probability of AI driving inflation higher is greater than the chance of significantly reducing inflation. This is due to demand-pull inflation pressures caused by AI investments.

DeepFlowTech

2026-04-02 05:25:01

Abstract generation in progress

Deep Tide TechFlow message. On April 02, according to Fortune, a team led by Deutsche Bank’s Chief U.S. Economist Matthew Luzzetti released a research report on March 30 to test the market consensus that “AI will substantially reduce inflation” by asking three major AI systems questions. The test subjects include Deutsche Bank’s proprietary tool dbLumina, OpenAI’s ChatGPT-5.2, and Anthropic’s Claude Opus 4.6.

The results were surprising: in the one-year outlook, all three models agreed that AI’s impact on inflation is most likely “negligible,” and that the probability of AI driving up inflation is higher than the probability of significantly reducing inflation. Among them, dbLumina puts the probability of AI increasing inflation at 40%, while the probability of significantly reducing inflation is only 5%. Claude’s figures are 25% and 5%, respectively; ChatGPT’s are 20% and 5%. The three models unanimously pointed to the main reason as the demand-driven inflationary pressure caused by the AI investment boom itself—massive data center expansions, a surge in semiconductor demand, and a sharp rise in electricity consumption driven by AI workloads.

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