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1. 4H Major Structure
Trend Type: Rebound segment after a central zone (Major downtrend remains unchanged, currently a corrective rebound after a decline)
Central Zone Location: approximately 68,750 ~ 71,342 (blue box)
a/c segment comparison: Entry segment (75,998→68,750) and exit segment (71,999→65,000) show no divergence; downward momentum not fully exhausted; rebound is a minor correction
Key Resistance: 68,750 (lower boundary of the central zone); Key Support: 66,797 (current 4H lower boundary of the central zone)
Core Conclusion: 4H upward move has started but has not broken through the lower boundary of the central zone; this is a "rebound rather than a reversal"; beware of a quick pullback after a rise
2. 1H Intermediate Structure
Current move: an upward move starting from 65,000, completing a standard 1H upward central zone (yellow box, approximately 66,233 ~ 68,169)
Structural Status: after completing the central zone, price broke above the upper boundary, forming a 1H three-buy pattern, indicating strong bullish momentum
Next move confirmation: a break above 68,589 indicates continuation of the uptrend; a drop below 67,500 confirms a correction move
Volume / MACD: MACD red bars expanding, DIF crossing above zero line, volume supporting the rally, rebound structure healthy
3. 15min Trading Structure
Pattern: from 65,998, a central zone upward move, currently in a high-level pullback phase after leaving segment
Divergence: comparing the leaving segment (65,998→68,589) with the entering segment, MACD shows top divergence, indicating short-term pullback needed
Observation level today: support at 67,500 (1H upper boundary of the central zone); resistance at 68,589 (previous high)
Trading logic: after 15min top divergence, wait for a pullback that does not enter the 1H central zone (below 68,169), can consider second buy / add-on; if it falls below 67,500, the rebound structure weakens
4. Personal Trading Strategy
Today has been perfectly closed; a new month begins tomorrow in April
5. Tomorrow’s Trading Ideas
Long Conditions: pull back to 67,500~67,800 without making new lows, 15min forms a second buy, can try small position long, stop loss at 67,200
Short Conditions: surge to 68,500~68,750 with 15min top divergence, can short accordingly, stop loss at 69,000, target 67,000
Risk Reminder: Volatility increases during US stock market open (8:30-10:30 PM), avoid opening positions during this period, strictly enforce stop losses
Trade strictly according to structure, only take high-probability buy points, with clear stop-loss, avoid chasing highs or holding large positions, prioritize capital preservation before seeking profits.
@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@#BTC能否守住6.5万美元? #鲍威尔鸽派发言重燃降息预期
In March, went from 100U to 505U, not by luck but through the Chenlun system + strict risk control. Daily review, record growth, and welcome fellow Chenlun traders to exchange ideas, moving steadily towards 1000U💪
Keep going, traders!!!!!!!!!!!!