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This week is Non-Farm Payroll week, and these are the points you must pay attention to!
The market completed a price-volume reversal and triggered a key support level during this morning's "pee" session, resulting in a sharp pullback and a shift in bullish and bearish momentum. After this pullback, the short-term risk of a sharp decline has temporarily eased (intraday);
BTC did not hit the re-entry level, stay patient, maybe a small shake will bring you back to break-even. If you missed the early morning spike, wait for tonight’s potential bottom confirmation and rebound. If there’s support, you can add another position; if not, just wait patiently;
ETH is long around the 2060 level, no worries, a small shake isn’t a big problem;
I haven’t added to CRCL positions tonight. Let’s see the North American reaction first. If I add now, I’ll give myself more time to see a true bottom and a second test before adding or not adding. It’s not late, or I might just break even with a small shake. My average price is around 98;
SSV is currently on the right side of the daily K trendline, still oscillating around the trendline, patiently waiting for a breakout;
BTC
Support: 65500 / 63500
Resistance: 69000 / 70825
You can freely attack the 65500 spot now. I told you in yesterday’s morning analysis—did you attack it? Don’t always imagine entering at the lowest point. Yesterday, I emphasized monitoring the 65500 level for a potential breakdown and price-volume reversal during Sunday and Monday. This morning’s "pee" session saw a precise drop below and recovery from that bottom support trendline of the daily K; the signal fully matches what I described yesterday;
ETH
Support: 1885 / 1815
Resistance: 2150 / 2225
The idea is consistent with what I mentioned about Bitcoin above. Watch for tonight’s potential retest and confirmation of support signals;
Trading advice: Over the weekend, I repeatedly told you that the spot gives opportunities—just attack. Set your orders and wait for entry. Bitcoin has given you an opportunity—did you enter? For contracts, a retest gives a chance to add positions. We didn’t hit the re-entry level on Saturday, but someone was watching the market during this morning’s "pee" session and had a chance to add. On Saturday, I emphasized paying attention to the opportunities during Monday’s early morning "pee" session;
Honestly, I didn’t set an alarm, so I didn’t add. I already bought spot in the last round, so I didn’t place an order at 65500 this time;
Based on the European, American, and Asian markets at noon and tonight, don’t forget to check out my thoughts and level choices again!
This week’s small Non-Farm Payroll data currently shows a slight positive expectation, which can be ignored. The major Non-Farm Payroll data is higher than the previous value but about half of what it was two months ago. Recently, this data has fluctuated in North America. Overall, the major Non-Farm Payroll is normal, and its impact on the market shouldn’t exceed a 48-hour trend. The influence on the 12-24 hour trend is already quite good, so don’t worry too much—just follow the indicators! $BTC $ETH
#震荡行情交易策略 $XAUUSD