【BitPush Daily News Selection】JPMorgan Chase: Since Iran tensions escalated, safe-haven demand has shifted, with Bitcoin ETF becoming the new favorite for capital flows; CME warns: if the U.S. government intervenes in oil futures market, it will trigger an epic disaster; U.S. CFTC releases prediction market advisory report; U.S. SEC chair: will consider innovation exemptions to promote tokenized securities trading

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Daily Web3 News Selected by BitPush Editors:

【JPMorgan: Since Iran Situation Escalated, Safe-Haven Demand Shifts, Bitcoin ETF Becomes New Capital Favorite】

According to BitPush, JPMorgan data shows that since the escalation of the Iran situation at the end of February, global assets have been “voting with their feet.” Traditional safe-haven gold ETFs (GLD) experienced a 2.7% outflow of funds, while Bitcoin ETFs (IBIT) attracted an opposite 1.5% inflow.

Analysis indicates that increased institutional holdings are exerting downward pressure on Bitcoin volatility, and the options market shows rising hedging demand. Although gold briefly led at the end of last year, this divergence in funds may signal that the “digital gold” narrative is gaining real-world validation.

【CME Warning: US Government Intervention in Oil Futures Could Trigger Epic Disaster】

According to BitPush, The Financial Times reports that CME’s CEO warned that if the Trump administration attempts to suppress oil prices through derivatives market intervention during the Iran conflict, it could lead to a “catastrophic outcome.” CME CEO Terry Duffy stated that if the US government tries to intervene in futures markets to curb crude oil prices, it could undermine market confidence. CME manages the US oil futures trading market. Duffy said, “Markets don’t like government interference in price setting.” He warned that such actions could trigger an “epic disaster,” as investors might lose faith in the market’s ability to set prices for key commodities. Earlier reports indicated that the US Treasury is considering measures to lower oil prices, including market interventions.

【US CFTC Releases Forecast Market Advisory Report】

BitPush reports that the US Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) has issued an advisory report on predictive market trading listings. Given the rapid development of prediction markets, the agency aims to encourage growth and innovation while reminding Designated Contract Market (DCM) operators to fulfill regulatory obligations under the Commodity Exchange Act (CEA) and CFTC regulations. The advisory emphasizes DCM responsibilities regarding compliance with CEA Section 5(d), Part 38, core principles 3, and Appendix C guidelines, as well as product submission requirements. It also discusses details that may be particularly relevant to sports event contracts. The Market Oversight Division believes that as frontline regulators, DCMs should proactively ensure their markets continue to meet CEA and CFTC standards during development.

【SEC Chair: Considering Innovation Exemptions to Promote Tokenized Securities Trading】

BitPush reports that SEC Chair Paul S. Atkins stated at the Investor Advisory Committee meeting that the agency will vote on proposals related to the tokenization of equity securities. The SEC is expected to consider an innovative exemption soon to facilitate limited trading of certain tokenized securities and to develop a long-term regulatory framework. Atkins also noted that the Crypto Working Group has held multiple roundtables over the past 13 months, engaging hundreds of market participants, soliciting broad public feedback, and receiving numerous written comments to better adapt rules for new trading types, while welcoming suggestions for potential innovative exemption schemes.

【US Senate Passes Bill Prohibiting CBDC Issuance, Ban May Continue Until 2030】

BitPush reports that the US Senate passed a bipartisan housing bill with 89 votes in favor and 10 against, which includes a clause banning the Federal Reserve from issuing Central Bank Digital Currencies (CBDC). The ban will last at least until the end of 2030, prohibiting the Fed from directly or indirectly issuing or creating CBDC or similar digital assets through financial institutions or intermediaries. The bill’s prospects in the House remain uncertain. Some lawmakers oppose the restrictions on large institutional holdings of housing, which could lead to the House pushing for a revised version, affecting the bill’s progress. Industry insiders say the clause reinforces a stance favoring private sector-led digital asset innovation and the protection of financial privacy.

【Ark Invest: About One-Third of Bitcoin Supply Still Faces Potential Quantum Computing Threats】

BitPush reports that Ark Invest, in collaboration with Unchained, released a report indicating that while most Bitcoin holdings are secure against quantum computing breakthroughs, approximately 34.6% of Bitcoin remains at potential risk. The threatened holdings include about 5 million BTC (25% of total supply) that can be transferred due to address reuse, around 1.7 million BTC (8.6%) stored in early P2PK addresses, and about 200,000 BTC (1%) affected by P2TR address types. If quantum computers can crack Bitcoin’s elliptic curve cryptography (ECC), these funds could be vulnerable to theft, though such a breakthrough is expected to take years. Ark believes this constitutes a “long-term risk,” giving the Bitcoin community ample time to research and implement quantum-resistant measures.

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