Don't Guess the Bottom – Wait for Market Signals

In the crypto market, many people like to “guess the bottom.” Every time the price drops sharply, someone claims, “This must be the bottom!” and rushes to buy. But in reality, most of these guesses only cause investors to get stuck with their capital. During the recent correction, many believed that the $104,000 mark was the bottom. When the price fell to $100,000, another “new bottom” was mentioned, and capital continued to flow in. However, the market kept declining, even failing to hold above $98,000 at times. If you keep guessing that $90,000 or $80,000 is the bottom to buy more, you risk falling into a “dollar-cost averaging” cycle and sinking even deeper. In fact, market bottoms rarely appear silently. They are usually accompanied by clear signals such as:

• Multiple tests of the bottom without breaking below.
• Significant increase in trading volume indicating large capital inflows.
• After a period of accumulation, the market begins to stabilize and rebound. For example, when the price tested the $98,000 zone twice and showed signs of stability with increased volume, the market quickly rebounded to around $107,000. This is a higher-probability opportunity, rather than trying to catch the exact lowest point. The same is true in many previous cycles. A major bottom often requires time for accumulation, absorbing supply, and the participation of large capital. When these conditions are met, a new upward trend is firmly established. Therefore, in crypto investing, the key is not to guess the bottom correctly but to patiently wait for confirmation signals. Even if you miss the first few percent of a rally, you can still participate with much lower risk than “catching falling knives.” The market always offers new opportunities. Long-term profit-makers are not the fastest, but those who are disciplined and know how to wait. Sometimes, the best action in investing is… waiting for the right moment. {spot}(BTCUSDT)