Don't Let the Market "Cut the Grass" on You! 8 Years in the Industry Have Taught Me 3 Core Logics to Survive

Recently, I’ve received many questions: “Is it still possible to catch the bottom now?” “I follow signals and indicators, so why do I keep losing more and more?” Honestly, if you still think crypto is just about learning a few technical indicators or listening to some insider tips to make money, then you are starting off on the wrong foot. After 8 years of experience in this market, I’ve realized one thing: Crypto is not a traditional investment market. It’s a cyclical trading game. And if you don’t understand the cycle, all your capital management formulas or stop-loss strategies are just superficial layers. 1️⃣ Crypto Is Not “Value Investing” – It’s a Cyclical Game Unlike the stock market, where companies have cash flow, profits, and financial reports to value, most crypto assets fluctuate mainly due to circulating capital following cycles. Here: There is no stable cash flow underpinning the price. There is no standard valuation to “anchor” market psychology. Price rises because money flows in. Price falls because money flows out. Many newcomers are overwhelmed by stories of “doubling or quintupling in a few weeks.” They think that: Learning a few technical indicators Setting a 20–30% stop-loss Using some leverage …are enough to make easy money. But the harsh reality is: speculation is much harder than investing. And that’s why crypto always follows the rule: 1 big winner – 2 break-even – 7 losers. Most people tirelessly study past K-lines, looking for “magical patterns,” while they haven’t yet understood the internal logic of how the market moves. 2️⃣ Logic Number 1: Respect the Cycle – Follow the Major Trend This is the most important level of thinking. You can be skilled in technical analysis, read charts quickly, but if you trade against the cycle, you will still get crushed by the market. In a bear market, trying to catch a rebound is like rowing against the current. In a bull market, selling early out of fear will only keep you “eating crumbs.” The first thing to ask isn’t “what to buy,” but: What stage of the cycle is the market in? If you get this wrong, all subsequent strategies are meaningless. 3️⃣ Logic Number 2: Making Money Is Not About How You Buy – It’s About How You Sell Most newcomers focus on: Where to buy?How to enter?What signals look good? But long-term survivors focus on: When to take profits?How to take partial profits?How to avoid giving back gains to the market? I’ve seen many people: Make 3–5 times their account But due to greed, waiting for “one more wave” End up back at the starting point, or even heavily in the red In crypto, holding onto your money is harder than making money. 4️⃣ Logic Number 3: Simplify Your Strategy – Focus on Leading Coins My strategy is very simple: Only focus on top-tier coins (assets with liquidity and market leadership). Bear market: diversify capital to buy gradually. Bull market: split orders to sell gradually. Mid-cycle: prioritize high-probability opportunities, avoid chasing “hot trends.” I don’t chase trash coins. I don’t follow weekly narratives. I don’t believe in “insider tips.” If the cycle allows the market to increase tenfold, I only need 3–5 times that. The rest is for others to dream about. It may sound “lacking ambition,” but in reality: The longest-living people in crypto are not those who make the most money, but those who don’t blow up their accounts. 5️⃣ The Hard Truth You Need to Accept Ask 30 seasoned crypto traders: How many have made big wins?How many have preserved those gains? Many have “won before.” But very few have kept their money. The difference lies in: Losers chase indicators. Survivors follow cycles. Money-makers know when to exit. Conclusion: To Make Money in Crypto, Think at a Higher Level If you’re still asking: “Should I go all-in now?”“Use 5x or 10x leverage?” Then maybe you don’t truly understand the nature of this game. Crypto doesn’t reward the smartest. It rewards the most disciplined and those who respect the cycle. Remember these three points: Crypto is a cyclical game, not traditional value investing. Wrong cycle = all techniques are useless. Making money is one thing, but preserving it takes real skill. If you understand these three levels of logic, you’ll avoid most of the mistakes that 90% of newcomers pay for with real money. And in this market, surviving long enough… is already a huge advantage.