Bear cycles usually run 18–24 months

So quick question
Did we just start,
or are we secretly halfway through?
If the timer started at the ATH,
we’ve survived a chunk
If it started after the first bounce
We’re barely warming up
Everyone says “this is how cycles work”
Great
Show me the part of the cycle we’re in
Are we in slow bleed mode
or pre-capitulation silence?
Because those feel very different
Statistically 2 years of pain
Emotionally feels like 5 already
What month are we actually in?
If this is early bear,
I’ll be patient
If this is mid bear,
I’ll be cautious
If this is late bear
I’m loading
Need someone to officially declare
“Bear market began on ___.”
So I can stop guessing
and start surviving properly
Markets don’t die in a day
They fade
Question is
are we fading out or basing up?