$BTC

Short-term profit-taking and cautious shorting
The current market balance shows a 40% / 60% probability ratio for bullish/bearish scenarios. The risk of a bearish move prevails, based on data on liquidations and ETF outflows, but activity from large BTC and ETH holders may support short-term rebounds up to the level of 72,000 USDT.

Bullish scenario: **Supported by a moderate increase in long positions on derivative platforms (**1.46–1.74 long/short**) and growing institutional interest in DeFi through ETH and SOL. If BTC holds **68,000 USDT** and trading volume exceeds **400 billion USDT**, the probability of upward growth increases.
Short-term buy📈
Entry: 68,000 USDT ( position size 30 %)
Stop: 66,000 USDT
Take profit: 72,000 USDT

Bearish scenario: ** Liquidation of long positions exceeding **5.1 billion USDT** and net outflows from ETFs increase the risk of falling to **65,000 USDT**. A break below support at **67,000 USDT** and RSI < 50 could trigger an accelerated downward impulse.
Short-term sell📉
Entry: 67,000 USDT
Stop: 70,500 USDT
Take profit: 65,000 USDT