Short-term Trend (Today / 1-3 Days)

👉 Conclusion: Slightly bearish with oscillations → Easy to spike higher and then fall back
Key Levels:
Type | Price Range | Meaning | Resistance | Support
---|---|---|---|---
70,000 – 71,500 | Most intense selling pressure | Strong resistance |
75,000+ | Reversal confirmation zone |
66,000 – 67,000 | Bullish defense level |
60,000 – 65,000 | Major lifeline |
Basis: RSI oversold but MACD remains bearish → Can only rebound, not reverse
CoinStats:
The main trend remains downward structure
COINOTAG:
📉 Short-term script:
Rally near 70K → Get hammered → Likely to retest 66K

Second, Swing Trend (Next 1-4 Weeks)
The market is currently a typical:
Big drop followed by sideways consolidation → Choosing direction phase

Three probable paths:
1️⃣ Most likely (oscillating downward)
Range: 60K–70K
Logic: Capital outflow + resistance persists
CoinStats
2️⃣ Less likely (rebound)
Condition: Stabilize above 71K
Target: 75K → 80K
3️⃣ Extreme case (big drop)
Break below 60K → 55K or lower
Barron’s Weekly

Third, Core Judgment (Key Points)
This is not the start of a bull market but:
A consolidation zone after the bull market top
Characteristics:
Rebounds always face selling pressure
Bearish trend not broken
Bulls are only defending

📊 Therefore, the essence of the market: Going long = Catching rebounds
Going short = Following the trend