Market Dynamics of Copper: From Shortage to Price Opportunities

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The copper market is at the center of investors’ and analysts’ attention in 2026, as the global demand system undergoes radical changes. Experts predict that in the coming years, the world will face a serious shortage of this critical metal, which will have far-reaching consequences for the energy transition and the digital economy.

Global Copper Shortage: How Demand Is Changing

The main drivers of copper demand are electric vehicles and artificial intelligence data centers. According to estimates from analytical firms, the copper deficit could reach 10 million tons by 2040, worsened by restrictions from leading suppliers. Each electric vehicle requires a significant amount of copper wiring and components, and modern data centers consume copper on scales that were unimaginable just a few years ago.

Asian Demand and Long-Term Shortage

The Asian region will play a key role in this dynamic. Analysts predict that Asia’s share in the global increase in copper demand will be about 60%, reflecting intensive industrialization and expansion of technological infrastructure in the region. This demand asymmetry will have a profound impact on global prices and the availability of the material in other markets.

Copper Price Potential: Expert Forecasts

Analysts indicate that copper prices could increase significantly if the global market manages to break through long-term restrictive channels. In a scenario of deepening shortages, the price of copper has the potential to double. Such a scenario will depend on how quickly the industry adapts to new supply realities and whether producers can increase extraction to meet the explosive growth in demand, especially in the context of environmental and geopolitical restrictions.

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