A "partial" government shutdown is now live after the House failed to vote on a funding deal.
Lawmakers may fix it when they reconvene on Monday — or they may not.
Because it happened over the weekend, markets had NO chance to react.
That reaction now comes Monday morning.
Until then, markets open with headline risk.
Here’s what traders will be watching at the open:
• Futures reaction at the open • Volatility spikes from policy uncertainty • Risk assets pricing a longer shutdown • Rotation into Treasuries and safe havens • Missing economic data creating macro blind spots
Historically, short shutdowns rarely crash markets.
But they do increase uncertainty — and markets hate uncertainty more than bad news.
Because this shutdown began while liquidity was thin, price discovery was delayed, not avoided.
Monday is when the bill comes due.
Washington may be closed again.
But markets never are. 🔥
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THE U.S. SHUT DOWN WHILE MARKETS WERE ASLEEP!!
A "partial" government shutdown is now live after the House failed to vote on a funding deal.
Lawmakers may fix it when they reconvene on Monday — or they may not.
Because it happened over the weekend, markets had NO chance to react.
That reaction now comes Monday morning.
Until then, markets open with headline risk.
Here’s what traders will be watching at the open:
• Futures reaction at the open
• Volatility spikes from policy uncertainty
• Risk assets pricing a longer shutdown
• Rotation into Treasuries and safe havens
• Missing economic data creating macro blind spots
Historically, short shutdowns rarely crash markets.
But they do increase uncertainty — and markets hate uncertainty more than bad news.
Because this shutdown began while liquidity was thin, price discovery was delayed, not avoided.
Monday is when the bill comes due.
Washington may be closed again.
But markets never are. 🔥