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🛢️ The EU and Iran are tough, who is paying for the war? Keep an eye on crude oil and Bitcoin!
Logical chain deduction: EU sanctions IRGC ➡️ Iranian live-fire exercise ➡️ in the Strait of Hormuz Crude oil supply panic ➡️ Oil prices soar ➡️ Inflation counterattack ➡️ It is harder for the Fed to cut interest rates.
Impact on the market:
Gold: Absolutely positive. War + risk aversion, gold is about to hit a new high.
Bitcoin (BTC): Short-term is bearish. Historically, every time the Middle East starts, BTC's first reaction is to follow the decline (due to liquidity withdrawal), and then rebound as "digital gold".
Altcoins: Extreme Dangerous. When the market is unstable, the liquidity of the cottage will be depleted in an instant.
Key Indicators: This weekend, don't just look at the candlesticks, go check out WTI crude oil prices and Middle East news. That is the "weather vane" of Bitcoin.