Bitcoin on the edge: Dead Cross threatens a drop below $90,000

Cryptocurrency analysts are highlighting a critical technical situation in the Bitcoin market. According to Gamza Khanzadaev, the potential formation of a weekly dead cross threatens a significant decline toward $67,000. The current Bitcoin price hovers around $90,780, which is a key decision point for the market direction in the coming weeks.

Critical support levels determine the scenario

The coming days will be decisive. Bitcoin must stay above the psychological level of $90,000 to close the weekly candle. If it fails, a bearish pattern will be confirmed, where the 50-week moving average crosses below the 200-week moving average — a classic sign of long-term weakening.

The first line of defense is the $86,000 zone. Breaking below this level on high volume will open the way to secondary supports at $74,111, and ultimately to the $67,000 level. Each of these levels represents historical zones where buying and selling pressure previously concentrated — understanding these points is crucial for grasping market dynamics.

Moving averages as a market map

The significance of the 50-week and 200-week moving averages for long-term investors cannot be overstated. These indicators form the backbone of any serious price forecast in the cryptocurrency markets. When the shorter moving average stays above the longer one, it usually indicates a bull market. The opposite situation signals a potential shift toward a bear.

It’s important to note that moving averages are lagging indicators — they confirm existing trends rather than predict them. Therefore, professional traders combine them with other tools: oscillators, on-chain data, and volume analysis.

Lesson from the past: Does a dead cross always lead to declines?

Bitcoin’s history shows that dead cross patterns do not always end dramatically. In 2022, similar signals preceded deep bear markets, but there are also examples of false alarms — so-called bear traps.

The current market differs from previous eras: higher leverage levels, faster institutional capital flows, and the availability of derivatives can accelerate moves after breaking key levels.

Questions investors are asking themselves

How does a dead cross work? It’s when the short-term moving average crosses below the long-term one. Traders interpret this as the beginning of a potential downtrend.

Why is $86,000 so important? This level represents the first significant resistance. Breaking it could trigger a wave of selling toward deeper supports.

Has Bitcoin experienced similar situations before? Many times. The outcomes have varied — sometimes leading to sustained declines, other times to quick rebounds.

What could invalidate the bearish scenario? If Bitcoin stays above $90,000 to close the weekly candle, the dead cross will not be confirmed, and the narrative could change.

How should one react to such analyses? Technical analysis is a tool, not a certainty. It should be combined with fundamental assessment, proper risk management, and setting stop-loss orders.

The role of volume and buying pressure

The lack of strong buying pressure this week raises concerns among analysts. Confirming any significant price movement requires high volume. Its absence during tests of key levels may indicate weak demand and increase the risk of further declines.

Macroeconomic context 2025

The year 2025 brings new variables for the cryptocurrency market. Regulatory clarity in major economies, the pace of institutional adoption, and interest rates directly influence digital asset valuations. Bitcoin remains a barometer for the entire sector — its technical condition indicates the direction for altcoins.

While expert analyses enrich the informational ecosystem, no forecast is certain. Price data show oscillations between $90,130 and $92,520 over the last 24 hours, highlighting current volatility.

Conclusions for market participants

The potential weekly dead cross requires monitoring by both speculative traders and long-term holders. Levels of $90,000 and $86,000 will determine the direction in the near future.

It is crucial to observe buying pressure and volume — these factors ultimately decide whether Bitcoin stabilizes or tests deeper support zones. In volatile cryptocurrency markets, technical analysis is only a roadmap, not a guarantee — hence the absolute necessity for prudent risk management strategies and avoiding emotional decisions.