#密码资产动态追踪 $XMR 's trend once again makes me think of a fundamental question—what do our technical analyses really rely on?

To be honest, indicators are just superficial. What truly determines life or death is one thing: volume and price.

I've seen too many people study indicators as if they were fortune-telling, only to crash at critical moments. The reason is simple—they ignore the most essential thing. A rise without supporting trading volume is called a false rally. It looks fierce but quickly turns into a bear trap, trapping a large number of traders who bought high.

Conversely, as long as you understand the relationship between volume and price, you essentially grasp the pulse of the crypto market. An upward move requires volume to push it—this is an iron law. If the volume can't keep up, the rally will end in failure. To catch the real trend, you need to focus on the fundamental—how trading volume and price interact.

After so many years of trading, my final takeaway is: complex indicators are less effective than simple volume and price relationships. The movements of coins like $ZEC and $RIVER all tell the same story.

Really want to make money in this market? Don't rely on flashy technical tools. Learn to read volume and price, understand the forces behind them, and you'll be able to identify genuine opportunities among many waves.