2026-01-12 14:10:26

#美国贸易赤字状况 Recently, the market has been like a tug-of-war between bulls and bears, each side with their own reasons.

From the bullish side, the expectation of a Federal Reserve rate cut is still there, and the long-term support framework has not collapsed. What's more interesting is that institutions are quietly accumulating below $90k step by step. Their actions are not large, but it's clear they are brewing something.

But bears are not to be underestimated either. ETF outflows have been continuous recently, with buying pressure directly losing strength. Plus, occasional geopolitical tensions stir things up, scaring retail investors into panic selling, and risk aversion sentiment is spreading.

Technically, the price is stuck in a range between $88k and $93k, with bulls and bears confronting each other like a chess game—neither side can easily break through. Even more painful is the shrinking trading volume, indicating the market is clearly in an awkward "not knowing where to go" situation.

In short, in the short term, there is indeed capital fleeing, and the price is being suppressed tightly. But the long-term logic hasn't broken down yet. Now, we're just waiting for that bullet that can break the deadlock. $BTC $ETH are all wandering at this crossroads.

BTC2,52%

ETH2,92%

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FreeRider

· 7h ago

Institutions are疯狂吸筹 below 90k, retail investors are still dumping, isn't this a classic scene of leek harvesting? Long-term logic isn't bad, but with such shrinking volume, who dares to bottom fish? It's just stuck between 88k and 93k, by the time that bullet comes, I would have been liquidated already. The continuous outflow of ETFs is not a good sign. Bitcoin has been above 90,000 for so long without breaking through, feeling a bit frustrating. Honestly, even if the rate cut expectations support the framework more solidly, retail investors get scared and sell off, who can withstand that? Where are the short-term fleeing funds flowing to? That’s the key. Hesitating at the crossroads is just waiting for a confirmed signal, but in the meantime, the account is shrinking.

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WalletDivorcer

· 01-12 14:40

Institutions are quietly accumulating at lows, while retail investors are dumping, this is the daily life of Web3. With such low trading volume, what breakout? Everyone is just waiting for that one bullet. There are quite a few chips around 89k, but can it really break through this time? I'm a bit skeptical. What does the outflow of ETFs indicate? It means someone is cutting losses. As long as the long-term logic isn't broken, it's fine. In the short term, it's just a game; retail investors who need to cut will still cut. The technicals are like a trapped beast; it can't go above $90k nor go down easily, it's annoying. The expectation of interest rate cuts is here, but as soon as geopolitics stir up, all of that disappears; that's just how the market is. It feels like institutions are fishing, waiting for retail investors to all run away before pushing the market up; the tactics are deep. The most disgusting thing is the shrinking volume; no signals can be seen. If this tug-of-war continues, we still have to wait for policy signals.

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SeasonedInvestor

· 01-12 14:38

If you can't break through 90k, you just have to be patient and wait. I believe that institutions are accumulating below. ETF bleeding is indeed annoying, but retail investors smashing the market is actually an opportunity to get in. The market within the box range is the most torturous. To be honest, I'm a bit mentally fatigued.

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HashRateHermit

· 01-12 14:37

Institutions are accumulating below 90k. I see through this tactic; they just want retail investors to buy the dip and take the bait. Honestly, this box-shaped fluctuation is so annoying, with trading volume shrinking like dead fish. As long as the rate cut expectations remain, it's okay; as long as the long-term doesn't collapse, there's hope. ETF outflows are indeed painful, but maybe this is a signal to buy the dip. It’s just bouncing back and forth between 88 and 93. When will it break through? Why are the bears so fierce? But retail investors being scared out is just an opportunity to buy cheap. I just want to know when the bullets will come; waiting is getting a bit frustrating.

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BearMarketMonk

· 01-12 14:23

Institutions are accumulating below 90k, I believe, but what about the outflow of this ETF? It feels like a show, the big players have already left. This range is really stifling, nothing much can be seen from the technicals, it's all about geopolitical news influencing the sentiment wave after wave. The long-term trend isn't broken, and the short-term won't die either—it's just a matter of who loses patience first. Are retail investors about to get chopped again? Sigh. Waiting for that bullet? Might have to wait a long time.

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