Bitcoin in 2026: when technical forecasts become even more important

We have entered a critical phase for cryptocurrencies, and questions about 2026 are multiplying. Renowned analyst Henrik Zeberg offers no false hope: according to his chart analysis, Bitcoin could go through one of the most turbulent phases in its history. His forecast speaks of a peak around 154,000 dollars, followed by a catastrophic drop toward @E5@3-4,000@E5@ dollars, with the possibility of plunging even lower.

Zeberg identifies that BTC is currently in the culminating phase of an expanding diagonal, a technical pattern that historically precedes severe corrections. The meaning of this formation is unequivocal: the MACD is already signaling a negative crossover on a monthly basis. This is not a bullish continuation, but an extremely bearish signal.

The Transformation Context of Bitcoin

To understand what a possible bubble in 2026 means, we must remember where Bitcoin has been. In 2021, $60,000 was already considered extraordinary. In 2022, the FTX collapse deeply shook the entire crypto community, leaving many traumatized. Yet, from the devastation, a completely different reality has emerged.

Bitcoin is no longer a marginal asset. Companies with managed assets measured in trillions of dollars are launching BTC-backed ETFs. The assets held through these instruments now surpass the reserves available on exchanges. MicroStrategy alone owns over 600,000 BTC, an amount that a few years ago would seem impossible to concentrate in a single entity.

Global banks, which once refused to serve clients interested in cryptocurrencies, now directly offer trading services. This institutionalization represents a narrative built over the last 8-10 years.

The “Final Blow” Scenario

According to Zeberg, before the crash, there will be the last “BlowOffTop,” a final spike of excessive enthusiasm around 154,000 dollars. It will not be a normal increase but an episode of pure euphoria. At that moment, the market will reach the peak of a particularly wide expanding diagonal.

What will follow is a 97-98% decline, an eventuality that many consider impossible. But as Zeberg reminds us, the Nasdaq fell 80-85% after the dot-com bubble, and Bitcoin has always amplified movements in both directions. When the AI and crypto bubbles burst, high-risk assets will pay the highest price.

What Perspectives Remain?

Not all is lost. If macroeconomic conditions align correctly—reduction of geopolitical tensions, accelerated monetary expansion, favorable election cycles in the United States, and sustained AI growth—2026 could still offer higher levels before any correction.

However, one lesson emerges clearly: the volatility characterizing Bitcoin is not destined to decrease. Today’s price, above $90,000, seems marginal in the context of expected oscillations. Preparing risk management strategies is no longer optional but essential for those who intend to navigate the next twelve months of the crypto market.