Jupiter's prediction market experiment is struggling to gain real momentum. After roughly 2.5 months in operation, the metrics tell a sobering story: total trading volume has only reached around $1.5M across approximately 40,000 trades. That breaks down to just $38 per trade on average and roughly $155 per user. Total fees collected sit at a mere $53k. While the integration technically exists on the platform, user adoption remains painfully thin. The gap between potential and actual traction is hard to ignore—this particular initiative illustrates how challenging it can be to bootstrap liquidity and engagement in predictive derivatives, even with established infrastructure already in place.