Been tracking crypto market cycles since 2017, and what we're seeing now matches historical bear market patterns pretty closely. User engagement metrics have been sliding for months—similar to what happened in previous downturns. At the same time, crypto projects are tightening their belts on marketing spend, which only amplifies the bearish sentiment. When both user activity and advertising budgets drop simultaneously, it signals we're deep in true bear market territory. The correlation is pretty hard to ignore.

This page may contain third-party content, which is provided for information purposes only (not representations/warranties) and should not be considered as an endorsement of its views by Gate, nor as financial or professional advice. See Disclaimer for details.
  • Reward
  • 7
  • Repost
  • Share
Comment
0/400
GasWhisperervip
· 15h ago
ngl the engagement death spiral hits different when you're watching mempool patterns simultaneously—those budget cuts? they're literally visible in transaction fee distributions lmao
Reply0
DAOplomacyvip
· 01-12 13:55
ngl, the correlation argument here is... *arguably* compelling, but we're conflating symptom with causation, yeah? budget cuts and engagement slides could just as easily reflect sub-optimal incentive structures rather than bear market inevitability. historical precedent suggests these metrics lag behind actual market recovery by months anyway. path dependency matters more than people admit.
Reply0
GlueGuyvip
· 01-12 13:52
Is the bear market here? Is this really happening?
View OriginalReply0
LiquidityWizardvip
· 01-12 13:49
ngl, the correlation angle here is statistically significant but like... you're missing the causality direction, tbh. is engagement dropping *because* we're in a bear, or are projects cutting marketing *because* engagement already tanked? chicken-egg situation fr fr
Reply0
SigmaBrainvip
· 01-12 13:43
The bear market is here, and this wave is really a repeat of history.
View OriginalReply0
rug_connoisseurvip
· 01-12 13:37
An old-timer who started playing in 2017, now you're talking about historical cycles again?
View OriginalReply0
AirdropAnxietyvip
· 01-12 13:32
Talking about historical cycles again, but this time it's really different, right?
View OriginalReply0
  • Pin

Trade Crypto Anywhere Anytime
qrCode
Scan to download Gate App
Community
  • 简体中文
  • English
  • Tiếng Việt
  • 繁體中文
  • Español
  • Русский
  • Français (Afrique)
  • Português (Portugal)
  • Bahasa Indonesia
  • 日本語
  • بالعربية
  • Українська
  • Português (Brasil)