Last night, the US December non-farm payroll data was released, and suddenly there was a mix-up suggesting that the core data was leaked prematurely, causing chaos among officials and major media outlets.
More importantly, the data itself was not ideal. The number of new jobs added was far below market expectations. Once this report was out, traders' attitudes immediately reversed. According to the CME FedWatch tool, the probability of a rate cut by the Federal Reserve in January surged from 60% to over 95%—almost a certainty.
This shift has had a significant impact on the market. On one side, trust issues arose from the data leak; on the other, signals of economic cooling added to the pressure, creating a double blow. For the crypto market, macroeconomic uncertainty has introduced new variables, and short-term volatility pressure may increase noticeably. During such times, the correlation among various assets usually strengthens, and investors need to closely monitor subsequent market reactions.
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UnluckyMiner
· 16h ago
Data leaks + bleak employment, this combo punch is pretty harsh.
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orphaned_block
· 16h ago
Data leaks like this cause trust to collapse. The Federal Reserve really knows how to stir things up.
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not_your_keys
· 16h ago
Data leaks are outrageous; a 95% probability of rate cuts has been locked in directly. The crypto world is about to get excited.
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SandwichVictim
· 16h ago
Data leaks are outrageous; there's a 95% probability of rate cuts taking off directly.
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FlashLoanKing
· 16h ago
Data leaks are really outrageous, but to be honest, with the probability of interest rate cuts soaring to 95%, this might not be bad news for the crypto world.
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JustAnotherWallet
· 16h ago
Data leaks + employment below expectations, a double whammy... The 95% probability of interest rate cuts is now a certainty, the crypto circle loves this tune.
Last night, the US December non-farm payroll data was released, and suddenly there was a mix-up suggesting that the core data was leaked prematurely, causing chaos among officials and major media outlets.
More importantly, the data itself was not ideal. The number of new jobs added was far below market expectations. Once this report was out, traders' attitudes immediately reversed. According to the CME FedWatch tool, the probability of a rate cut by the Federal Reserve in January surged from 60% to over 95%—almost a certainty.
This shift has had a significant impact on the market. On one side, trust issues arose from the data leak; on the other, signals of economic cooling added to the pressure, creating a double blow. For the crypto market, macroeconomic uncertainty has introduced new variables, and short-term volatility pressure may increase noticeably. During such times, the correlation among various assets usually strengthens, and investors need to closely monitor subsequent market reactions.