This $68,000 wallet has executed a near "physical arbitrage" closed loop within Polymarket's one-hour Bitcoin window.

It doesn't care whether Bitcoin goes up or down; it only cares if the odds math has temporarily "broken."

🔗 BTC price movement prediction market:

The logic is so simple it’s infuriating: in a two-outcome market, one result must ultimately settle at 1 USD. Theoretically, the total cost of buying both YES and NO should equal 1. But in an extremely short moment, the combined prices of the two options might only be 0.97 to 0.99 USD.

This is its withdrawal time.

This wallet quickly sweeps the price difference, locking in profits. It buys a "guaranteed 1 USD" bundle for 97 cents, then waits for settlement, with the remaining 3 cents as pure profit.

During this one-hour volatility, it also engages in higher-frequency compounding:

High throw: Selling the option that has surged due to market fluctuations.

Replenishment: Re-adding to the other side that has become extremely cheap due to a pullback.

Closed loop: Always maintaining a two-way hedge, repeatedly capturing the volatility premium (Skimming the swings), and rolling profits before settlement.

While most people cut losses by betting on the wrong direction, this wallet exploits the "imperfection" in pricing to lock in the outcome. The only enemy of this strategy is efficiency— as long as the platform retains that 1 to 3 cents price gap, this money-printing machine will always have fuel.

In prediction markets, direction is just an illusion; only math is real.