Recently, the market has been fluctuating frequently, and many investors are starting to lose patience, hoping to buy the dip at lower prices. But at this moment, it’s actually better to stay calm.
"Good opportunities are created by waiting"—this is a principle repeatedly emphasized by investment masters like Charlie Munger, Warren Buffett, and Duan Yongping. However, very few people in the crypto world can truly do this.
What is the biggest test when dealing with cyclical markets? It’s overcoming the gambling instinct. Many people only realize they’ve run out of chips when the real opportunity arrives. That’s why some chase high at the end of a bull market, but have no bullets left at the bottom of a bear market.
Looking at Bitcoin alone, it does seem to be at a cyclical low point. But if we consider the US stock market, I find it hard to convince myself to buy BTC at this moment.
In recent years, a clear phenomenon has emerged—US stocks experience a correction once a year, and the frequency is increasing. More importantly, the total market value of US stocks has surpassed that of the US real estate market. Historically, this has only happened twice, and both times, a significant bear market followed in the subsequent years.
The correlation between the crypto market and US stocks is becoming closer. Once US stocks enter a cyclical correction, the crypto market often bears the brunt. From this perspective, it’s not the best time to enter yet.
I have been holding a cash position for several months, waiting—waiting for a truly worthwhile opportunity to go all in. Not a small rebound, but a bottom opportunity that makes you regret not investing more.
Trust me, when that moment comes, I will not hesitate for half a second.
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ChainSherlockGirl
· 01-13 06:55
The hidden danger in the US stock market is indeed something to be cautious about; the probability of history repeating itself is a bit frightening. Waiting for the true bottom tests your resolve more than blindly taking on positions.
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FarmToRiches
· 01-12 13:52
This hidden risk in the US stock market, many people haven't really figured it out yet. I think the author's analysis is fine, and indeed, there's no need to rush.
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WalletDivorcer
· 01-12 13:52
Empty positions for months without moving, just betting on when the US stock market will crash. It sounds nice, but when that moment really comes, who dares to go all in?
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LiquidityNinja
· 01-12 13:51
This guy has been out of position for several months and is still waiting. I just want to ask, can he really hold on until the end?
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PumpAnalyst
· 01-12 13:49
That hidden danger in the US stock market is indeed frightening; the history is right there, with two collapses... I don't dare to bet on this wave.
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NftDeepBreather
· 01-12 13:46
Been out of the market for a few months, just waiting for that moment. The recent correction in the US stock market has been really frightening.
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LiquidatedDreams
· 01-12 13:34
Being out of the market for several months has been quite tough, but based on the situation in the US stock market, it's truly not the time to go all-in yet.
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MeltdownSurvivalist
· 01-12 13:22
It's been a few months of being out of the market, and I can still hold on. This mindset is good... When that moment really comes, whether I can go all-in or not is another story.
Recently, the market has been fluctuating frequently, and many investors are starting to lose patience, hoping to buy the dip at lower prices. But at this moment, it’s actually better to stay calm.
"Good opportunities are created by waiting"—this is a principle repeatedly emphasized by investment masters like Charlie Munger, Warren Buffett, and Duan Yongping. However, very few people in the crypto world can truly do this.
What is the biggest test when dealing with cyclical markets? It’s overcoming the gambling instinct. Many people only realize they’ve run out of chips when the real opportunity arrives. That’s why some chase high at the end of a bull market, but have no bullets left at the bottom of a bear market.
Looking at Bitcoin alone, it does seem to be at a cyclical low point. But if we consider the US stock market, I find it hard to convince myself to buy BTC at this moment.
In recent years, a clear phenomenon has emerged—US stocks experience a correction once a year, and the frequency is increasing. More importantly, the total market value of US stocks has surpassed that of the US real estate market. Historically, this has only happened twice, and both times, a significant bear market followed in the subsequent years.
The correlation between the crypto market and US stocks is becoming closer. Once US stocks enter a cyclical correction, the crypto market often bears the brunt. From this perspective, it’s not the best time to enter yet.
I have been holding a cash position for several months, waiting—waiting for a truly worthwhile opportunity to go all in. Not a small rebound, but a bottom opportunity that makes you regret not investing more.
Trust me, when that moment comes, I will not hesitate for half a second.